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相关论文: Deep Fiducial Inference

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We propose a new fiducial Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for fitting parametric Gaussian models. We utilize the Cayley transform to decompose the parametric covariance matrix, which in turn allows us to formulate a general data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Hank Flury , Jan Hannig , Richard Smith

The randomized distributed function computation (RDFC) framework, which unifies many cutting-edge distributed computation and learning applications, is considered. An autoencoder (AE) architecture is proposed to minimize the total variation…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Didrik Bergström , Onur Günlü

The concept of fiducial inference was introduced by R. A. Fisher in the 1930s to address the perceived limitations of Bayesian inference, particularly the need for subjective prior distributions in cases with limited prior information.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Wei Du , Jan Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yi Su , Chunzhe Zhang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is an established approach for uncertainty quantification and propagation in scientific applications. A key challenge in applying MCMC to scientific domains is computation: the target density of interest is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-05 Diana Cai , Ryan P. Adams

Approximate confidence distribution computing (ACDC) offers a new take on the rapidly developing field of likelihood-free inference from within a frequentist framework. The appeal of this computational method for statistical inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-13 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Minge Xie

Variational autoencoders (VAE) often use Gaussian or category distribution to model the inference process. This puts a limit on variational learning because this simplified assumption does not match the true posterior distribution, which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Ke Sun , Xiangliang Zhang

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-01 Faming Liang , Sehwan Kim , Yan Sun

It is not unusual for a data analyst to encounter data sets distributed across several computers. This can happen for reasons such as privacy concerns, efficiency of likelihood evaluations, or just the sheer size of the whole data set. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Randy C. S. Lai , J. Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee

Fiducial inference, as generalized by Hannig et al. (2016), is applied to nonparametric g-modeling (Efron, 2016) in the discrete case. We propose a computationally efficient algorithm to sample from the fiducial distribution, and use the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-21 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

We introduce a novel approach to inference on parameters that take values in a Riemannian manifold embedded in a Euclidean space. Parameter spaces of this form are ubiquitous across many fields, including chemistry, physics, computer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-12 Alexander C Murph , Jan Hannig , Jonathan P Williams

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a popular and successful general-purpose tool for Bayesian inference. However, MCMC cannot be practically applied to large data sets because of the prohibitive cost of evaluating every likelihood term at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-03-25 Dougal Maclaurin , Ryan P. Adams

Embracing the deep learning techniques for representation learning in clustering research has attracted broad attention in recent years, yielding a newly developed clustering paradigm, viz. the deep clustering (DC). Typically, the DC models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-17 Shuai Chang

Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), are routinely used for Bayesian inference in generalized linear models; however, these algorithms are prohibitively slow in massive data…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-31 Nariankadu D. Shyamalkumar , Sanvesh Srivastava

Multifidelity approximate Bayesian computation (MF-ABC) is a likelihood-free technique for parameter inference that exploits model approximations to significantly increase the speed of ABC algorithms (Prescott and Baker, 2020). Previous…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker

Fiducial inference was introduced in the first half of the 20th century by Fisher (1935) as a means to get a posterior-like distribution for a parameter without having to arbitrarily define a prior. While the method originally fell out of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-01 Alexander C. Murph , Jan Hannig , Jonathan P. Williams

Post-data statistical inference concerns making probability statements about model parameters conditional on observed data. When a priori knowledge about parameters is available, post-data inference can be conveniently made from Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-05 Yang Liu , Jan Hannig , Alexander C Murph

When performing Bayesian computations in practice, one is often faced with the challenge that the constituent model components and/or the data are only available in a distributed fashion, e.g. due to privacy concerns or sheer volume. While…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Joris Bierkens , Andrew Duncan

The use of the Bayesian tools in system identification and model updating paradigms has been increased in the last ten years. Usually, the Bayesian techniques can be implemented to incorporate the uncertainties associated with measurements…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-10-27 M. Sherri , I. Boulkaibet , T. Marwala , M. I. Friswell
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