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We present results exploring the role that probabilistic deep learning models can play in cosmology from large-scale astronomical surveys through photometric redshift (photo-z) estimation. Photo-z uncertainty estimates are critical for the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-03-20 Evan Jones , Tuan Do , Bernie Boscoe , Jack Singal , Yujie Wan , Zooey Nguyen

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable success in various fields, including seismology. However, one major challenge in deep learning is the presence of mislabeled examples. Additionally, accurately estimating model uncertainty…

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

We study the sample complexity of Bayesian recovery for solving inverse problems with general prior, forward operator and noise distributions. We consider posterior sampling according to an approximate prior $\mathcal{P}$, and establish…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Ben Adcock , Nick Huang

Image reconstruction methods based on deep neural networks have shown outstanding performance, equalling or exceeding the state-of-the-art results of conventional approaches, but often do not provide uncertainty information about the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Riccardo Barbano , Željko Kereta , Chen Zhang , Andreas Hauptmann , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

This work develops rigorous theoretical basis for the fact that deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) is an effective tool for high-dimensional variable selection with rigorous uncertainty quantification. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

We present a Bayesian inference approach to estimating the cumulative mass profile and mean squared velocity profile of a globular cluster given the spatial and kinematic information of its stars. Mock globular clusters with a range of…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-09 Gwendolyn M. Eadie , Jeremy J. Webb , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Recent advances in reconstruction methods for inverse problems leverage powerful data-driven models, e.g., deep neural networks. These techniques have demonstrated state-of-the-art performances for several imaging tasks, but they often do…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-20 Riccardo Barbano , Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

The wide adoption of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) in applications where decision-making under uncertainty is fundamental, has brought a great deal of attention to the ability of these models to accurately quantify the uncertainty in…

Conventional galaxy mass estimation methods suffer from model assumptions and degeneracies. Machine learning, which reduces the reliance on such assumptions, can be used to determine how well present-day observations can yield predictions…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-27 Jiani Chu , Hongming Tang , Dandan Xu , Shengdong Lu , Richard Long

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become integral to a wide range of scientific and practical applications due to their flexibility and strong predictive performance. Despite their accuracy, however, DNNs frequently exhibit poor calibration,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Sanne Ruijs , Alina Kosiakova , Farrukh Javed

Bayesian approaches for learning deep neural networks (BNN) have been received much attention and successfully applied to various applications. Particularly, BNNs have the merit of having better generalization ability as well as better…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Gyuseung Baek , Yongdai Kim

We train deep learning models on thousands of galaxy catalogues from the state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations of the CAMELS project to perform regression and inference. We employ Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), architectures designed to…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-02-10 Pablo Villanueva-Domingo , Francisco Villaescusa-Navarro

Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) constitute a general and powerful framework for modeling continuous-time stochastic processes on networks. This makes them particularly attractive for learning the directed structures among…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-15 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

We explore the effectiveness of deep learning convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for estimating strong gravitational lens mass model parameters. We have investigated a number of practicalities faced when modelling real image data, such as…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2019-07-24 James Pearson , Nan Li , Simon Dye