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We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

We present Vector-Space Markov Random Fields (VS-MRFs), a novel class of undirected graphical models where each variable can belong to an arbitrary vector space. VS-MRFs generalize a recent line of work on scalar-valued, uni-parameter…

Loops undergoing thermal fluctuations are prevalent in nature. Ring-like or cross-linked polymers, cyclic macromolecules, and protein-mediated DNA loops all belong to this category. Stability of these molecules are generally described in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2016-04-27 James T. Waters , Harold D. Kim

We introduce a general, flexible, parametric survival modelling framework which encompasses key shapes of hazard function (constant, increasing, decreasing, up-then-down, down-then-up), various common survival distributions (log-logistic,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-11 Kevin Burke , M. C. Jones , Angela Noufaily

Sampling from circular distributions is a fundamental task in directional statistics. A key challenge in acceptance-rejection methods lies in selecting an efficient envelope density, as poor choices can lead to low acceptance rates and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee

The modeling of probability distributions, specifically generative modeling and density estimation, has become an immensely popular subject in recent years by virtue of its outstanding performance on sophisticated data such as images and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-02 Hongkang Yang

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions with a wide range of applications in economics, telecommunications, biology, applied, and theoretical physics. This is due to the fact that it possesses both the skewness and heavy tails. Since…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-13 Mahdi Teimouri

It is well known that any continuous probability density function on $\mathbb{R}^m$ can be approximated arbitrarily well by a finite mixture of normal distributions, provided that the number of mixture components is sufficiently large. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-15 Tin Lok James Ng , Kwok-Kun Kwong

We introduce simple conditions ensuring that invariant distributions of a Feller Markov chain on a compact Riemannian manifold are absolutely continuous with a lower semi-continuous, continuous or smooth density with respect to the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-25 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

Forecasters using flexible neural networks (NN) in multi-horizon distributional regression setups often struggle to gain detailed insights into the underlying mechanisms that lead to the predicted feature-conditioned distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Alessandro Brusaferri , Danial Ramin , Andrea Ballarino

By considering the Einstein-Vlasov system for static spherically symmetric distributions of matter, we show that configurations with constant anisotropy parameter $\beta$ have, necessarily, a distribution function (DF) of the form…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2018-03-21 Henrique Matheus Gauy , Javier Ramos-Caro

Two semimetrics on probability distributions are proposed, given as the sum of differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial or frequency locations (i.e, features). The features are chosen so as to maximize the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Kacper Chwialkowski , Arthur Gretton

In this paper, we obtain quantitative, non-asymptotic, and data-dependent \textit{Bernstein-von Mises type} bounds on the normal approximation of the posterior distribution in exponential family models with arbitrary centring and scaling.…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-14 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

We study the statistical distribution of components in the non-perturbative parts of energy eigenfunctions (EFs), in which main bodies of the EFs lie. Our numerical simulations in five models show that deviation of the distribution from the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-08-24 Jiaozi Wang , Wen-ge Wang

$\alpha$-posteriors and their variational approximations distort standard posterior inference by downweighting the likelihood and introducing variational approximation errors. We show that such distortions, if tuned appropriately, reduce…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Marco Avella Medina , José Luis Montiel Olea , Cynthia Rush , Amilcar Velez

Another new family of continuous probability distribution is proposed by using Generalized Marshal-Olkin distribution as the base line distribution in the Kumaraswamy-G distribution. This family includes (Cordeiro and de Castro, 2011) and…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-16 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty

We introduce a systematically improvable family of variational wave functions for the simulation of strongly correlated fermionic systems. This family consists of Slater determinants in an augmented Hilbert space involving "hidden"…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2022-08-18 Javier Robledo Moreno , Giuseppe Carleo , Antoine Georges , James Stokes

Assuming an exponential power distribution is one way to deal with outliers in regression and clustering, which can increase the robustness of the analysis. Gaussian distribution is a special case of an exponential distribution. And an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-22 Xiao Chen

The normality assumption on data set is very restrictive approach for modelling. The generalized form of normal distribution, named as an exponential power (EP) distribution, and its scale mixture form have been considered extensively to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-20 Mehmet Niyazi Cankaya , Olcay Arslan

One of the major problems for maximum likelihood estimation in the well-established directional models is that the normalising constants can be difficult to evaluate. A new general method of "score matching estimation" is presented here on…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-29 Kanti V Mardia , John T Kent , Arnab K Laha