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相关论文: Change-point tests for the tail parameter of Long …

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Consider a random sample in the max-domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value distribution such that the dependence structure of the attractor belongs to a parametric model. A new estimator for the unknown parameter is defined as…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-05 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

This article proposes a space-efficient approximation to empirical tail dependence coefficients of an indefinite bivariate stream of data. The approximation, which has stream-length invariant error bounds, utilises recent work on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Alastair Gregory , Kaushik Jana

This study examines the varying coefficient model in tail index regression. The varying coefficient model is an efficient semiparametric model that avoids the curse of dimensionality when including large covariates in the model. In fact,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-12 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

This paper is concerned with tests for changes in the jump behaviour of a time-continuous process. Based on results on weak convergence of a sequential empirical tail integral process, asymptotics of certain tests statistics for breaks in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-18 Axel Bücher , Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

By informing the onset of the degradation process, health status evaluation serves as a significant preliminary step for reliable remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of complex equipment. This paper proposes a novel temporal dynamics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-10 Anushiya Arunan , Yan Qin , Xiaoli Li , Chau Yuen

Change-point analysis is a flexible and computationally tractable tool for the analysis of times series data from systems that transition between discrete states and whose observables are corrupted by noise. The change-point algorithm is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-22 Paul A. Wiggins , Colin H. LaMont

In this letter, we construct cusum change-point tests for the Hurst exponent and the volatility of a discretely observed fractional Brownian motion. As a statistical application of the functional Breuer-Major theorems by B\'egyn (2007) and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Markus Bibinger

Many time series exhibit changes both in level and in variability. Generally, it is more important to detect a change in the level, and changing or smoothly evolving variability can confound existing tests. This paper develops a framework…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-09 Tomasz Gorecki , Lajos Horvath , Piotr Kokoszka

In panel data we observe a usually high number N of individuals over a time period T. Even if T is large one often assumes stability of the model over time. We propose a nonparametric and robust test for a change in location and derive its…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-22 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

This paper considers deep visual recognition on long-tailed data. To be general, we consider two applied scenarios, \ie, deep classification and deep metric learning. Under the long-tailed data distribution, the majority classes (\ie, tail…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-07 Jialun Liu , Jingwei Zhang , Yi yang , Wenhui Li , Chi Zhang , Yifan Sun

Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

We propose a new testing procedure about the tail weight parameter of multivariate Student $t$ distributions by having recourse to the Le Cam methodology. Our test is asymptotically as efficient as the classical likelihood ratio test, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-10 Christophe Ley , Anouk Neven

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

We investigate the relative information content of six measures of dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ for large or extreme events for several models of interest for financial time series. The six measures of dependence are…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

This paper proposes a new test for a change point in the mean of high-dimensional data based on the spatial sign and self-normalization. The test is easy to implement with no tuning parameters, robust to heavy-tailedness and theoretically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Feiyu Jiang , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

Long Memory Stochastic volatility (LMSV) models capture two standardized features of financial data: the log-returns are uncorrelated, but their squares, or absolute values are (highly) dependent and they may have heavy tails. EGARCH and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-12 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang