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Ideally, all analyses of normally distributed data should include the full covariance information between all data points. In practice, the full covariance matrix between all data points is not always available. Either because a result was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Lukas Koch

We consider statistical hypothesis testing simultaneously over a fairly general, possibly uncountably infinite, set of null hypotheses, under the assumption that a suitable single test (and corresponding $p$-value) is known for each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-10 Gilles Blanchard , Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

The objective of this work is to quantify the uncertainty in probability of failure estimates resulting from incomplete knowledge of the probability distributions for the input random variables. We propose a framework that couples the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael Shields

Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing sequential methods require rigid testing preschedules or incur…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

Seemingly unrelated regression models generalize linear regression models by considering multiple regression equations that are linked by contemporaneously correlated disturbances. Robust inference for seemingly unrelated regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Kris Peremans , Stefan Van Aelst

Inductive inference is the process of extracting general rules from specific observations. This problem also arises in the analysis of biological networks, such as genetic regulatory networks, where the interactions are complex and the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-01-09 M. Andrecut

In designing external validation studies of clinical prediction models, contemporary sample size calculation methods are based on the frequentist inferential paradigm. One of the widely reported metrics of model performance is net benefit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-28 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Andrew J Vickers , Tae Yoon Lee , Paul Gustafson , Laure Wynants

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

We propose a test of the significance of a variable appearing on the Lasso path and use it in a procedure for selecting one of the models of the Lasso path, controlling the Family-Wise Error Rate. Our null hypothesis depends on a set A of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-05 Matthieu Pluntz , Cyril Dalmasso , Pascale Tubert-Bitter , Ismail Ahmed

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-26 Jaan Altosaar , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Proximal causal inference (PCI) has emerged as a promising framework for identifying and estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounders. While many traditional causal inference methods rely on the assumption of no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Grace V. Ringlein , Trang Quynh Nguyen , Peter P. Zandi , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Harsh Parikh

When dealing with incomplete data in statistical learning, or incomplete observations in probabilistic inference, one needs to distinguish the fact that a certain event is observed from the fact that the observed event has happened. Since…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-09-13 M. Jaeger

Generalized linear models are often assumed to fit propensity scores, which are used to compute inverse probability weighted (IPW) estimators. In order to derive the asymptotic properties of IPW estimators, the propensity score is supposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-25 Julieta Molina , Mariela Sued , Marina Valdora

Positivity is one of the three conditions for causal inference from observational data. The standard way to validate positivity is to analyze the distribution of propensity. However, to democratize the ability to do causal inference by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Guy Wolf , Gil Shabat , Hanan Shteingart

In randomized experiments with noncompliance, tests may focus on compliers rather than on the overall sample. Rubin (1998) put forth such a method, and argued that testing for the complier average causal effect and averaging permutation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-23 Laura Forastiere , Fabrizia Mealli , Luke Miratrix

Randomly censored survival data are frequently encountered in applied sciences including biomedical or reliability applications and clinical trial analyses. Testing the significance of statistical hypotheses is crucial in such analyses to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

The use of standard statistical methods, such as maximum likelihood, is often justified based on their asymptotic properties. For suitably regular models, this theory is standard but, when the model is non-regular, e.g., the support depends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-25 Ryan Martin , Yi Lin

Instrumental variable (IV) methods allow us the opportunity to address unmeasured confounding in causal inference. However, most IV methods are only applicable to discrete or continuous outcomes with very few IV methods for censored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-30 Youjin Lee , Edward H. Kennedy , Nandita Mitra

The inferential model (IM) framework offers an alternative to the classical probabilistic (e.g., Bayesian and fiducial) uncertainty quantification in statistical inference. A key distinction is that classical uncertainty quantification…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-15 Ryan Martin , Jonathan P. Williams