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相关论文: Inference on the Change Point for High Dimensional…

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This paper considers M-estimation of a nonlinear regression model with multiple change-points occuring at unknown times. The multi-phase random design regression model, discontinuous in each change-point, have an arbitrary error $\epsilon$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-09-22 Gabriela Ciuperca

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-06 Chris Browne

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Standard diffusion models for graph generation typically rely on uniform time-stepping, an approach that overlooks the non-homogeneous dynamics of distributional evolution on complex manifolds. In this paper, we present an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Yuhui Lu , Wenjing Liu , Kun Zhan

We consider change-point estimation in a sequence of high-dimensional signals given noisy observations. Classical approaches to this problem such as the filtered derivative method are useful for sequences of scalar-valued signals, but they…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-08 Yong Sheng Soh , Venkat Chandrasekaran

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

For a multivariate random walk with i.i.d. jumps satisfying the Cramer moment condition and having a mean vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-09 Yuqing Pan , Konstantin Borovkov

We study the asymptotic properties of distributed consensus algorithms over switching directed random networks. More specifically, we focus on consensus algorithms over independent and identically distributed, directed random graphs, where…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2010-04-21 Victor M. Preciado , Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi , Ali Jadbabaie

We propose a panel ARMA-GARCH model to capture the dynamics of large panel data with $N$ individuals over $T$ time periods. For this model, we provide a two-step estimation procedure to estimate the ARMA parameters and GARCH parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Bing Su , Ke Zhu

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Traditional methods for inference in change point detection often rely on a large number of observed data points and can be inaccurate in non-asymptotic settings. With the rise of mobile health and digital phenotyping studies, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Ian Barnett

The aim of this short article is to convey the basic idea of the original paper [3], without going into too much detail, about how to derive sharp asymptotics of the gyration radius for random walk, self-avoiding walk and oriented…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-31 Akira Sakai

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

Statistical properties of the intensity in adaptive optics images are usually modeled with a Rician distribution. We study the central point of the image, where this model is inappropriate for high to very high correction levels. The…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Rémi Soummer , André Ferrari

We study the problem of change point localisation and inference for sequentially collected fragmented functional data, where each curve is observed only over discrete grids randomly sampled over a short fragment. The sequence of underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-10 Gengyu Xue , Haotian Xu , Yi Yu

We study a discrete-time duplication-deletion random graph model and analyse its asymptotic degree distribution. The random graphs consists of disjoint cliques. In each time step either a new vertex is brought in with probability $0<p<1$…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-24 Erik Thörnblad