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As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

Nonlinear parametric systems have been widely used in modeling nonlinear dynamics in science and engineering. Bifurcation analysis of these nonlinear systems on the parameter space are usually used to study the solution structure such as…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-01-26 Wenrui Hao , Chunyue Zheng

This paper presents a methodology for creating streaming, distributed inference algorithms for Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models. In the proposed framework, processing nodes receive a sequence of data minibatches, compute a variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-02 Trevor Campbell , Julian Straub , John W. Fisher , Jonathan P. How

Learning-based edge detection models trained with cross-entropy loss often suffer from thick edge predictions, which deviate from the crisp, single-pixel annotations typically provided by humans. While previous approaches to achieving crisp…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Jiaxin Cheng , Yue Wu , Yicong Zhou

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale inference, yet most classical approaches assume homoscedastic observations and focus primarily on posterior mean estimation. We develop a nonparametric empirical Bayes framework for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Zhigen Zhao , Shonosuke Sugaasawa

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) constitute a flexible deep learning approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), which model phenomena ranging from heat conduction to quantum mechanical systems. Despite their…

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

We consider in this paper the formulation of approximate inference in Bayesian networks as a problem of exact inference on an approximate network that results from deleting edges (to reduce treewidth). We have shown in earlier work that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Arthur Choi , Adnan Darwiche

In the emerging paradigm of edge learning, neural networks (NNs) are partitioned across distributed edge devices that collaboratively perform inference via wireless transmission. However, deploying NNs for edge inference over wireless…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Yangshuo He , Guanding Yu , Jingge Zhu

Deep discrete structured models have seen considerable progress recently, but traditional inference using dynamic programming (DP) typically works with a small number of states (less than hundreds), which severely limits model capacity. At…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Yao Fu , John P. Cunningham , Mirella Lapata

Reduced numerical precision is a common technique to reduce computational cost in many Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). While it has been observed that DNNs are resilient to small errors and noise, no general result exists that is capable of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-04 Zhaoqi Li , Yu Ma , Catalina Vajiac , Yunkai Zhang

The paper presents a scheme for computing lower and upper bounds on the posterior marginals in Bayesian networks with discrete variables. Its power lies in its ability to use any available scheme that bounds the probability of evidence or…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-17 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter , Emma Rollon

Recently, Deep-Neural-Network (DNN) based edge prediction is progressing fast. Although the DNN based schemes outperform the traditional edge detectors, they have much higher computational complexity. It could be that the DNN based edge…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-29 Jan Kristanto Wibisono , Hsueh-Ming Hang

While neural networks have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, accurately quantifying uncertainty in their predictions is essential to ensure their trustworthiness and enable widespread adoption in critical systems.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Joseph Wilson , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Fred Roosta

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Existing network embedding approaches tackle the problem of learning low-dimensional node representations. However, networks can also be seen in the light of edges interlinking pairs of nodes. The broad goal of this paper is to introduce…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-11-12 Giuseppe Pirrò

Models of discrete-valued outcomes are easily misspecified if the data exhibit zero-inflation, overdispersion or contamination. Without additional knowledge about the existence and nature of this misspecification, model inference and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Jeremias Knoblauch , Lara Vomfell

This paper investigates the use of probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) to model aleatoric uncertainty, which refers to the inherent variability in the input-output relationships of a system, often characterized by unequal variance or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Scott E. Stapleton

This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles (DEs), capable of improving uncertainty estimation in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin , Keivan Shariatmadar , David Moens , Hans Hallez