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Knowledge gradient is a design principle for developing Bayesian sequential sampling policies to solve optimization problems. In this paper we consider the ranking and selection problem in the presence of covariates, where the best…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-17 Liang Ding , L. Jeff Hong , Haihui Shen , Xiaowei Zhang

We study the problem of causal structure learning over a set of random variables when the experimenter is allowed to perform at most $M$ experiments in a non-adaptive manner. We consider the optimal learning strategy in terms of minimizing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-01 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller

This paper introduces a new data-driven methodology for estimating sparse covariance matrices of the random coefficients in logit mixture models. Researchers typically specify covariance matrices in logit mixture models under one of two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Youssef M Aboutaleb , Mazen Danaf , Yifei Xie , Moshe Ben-Akiva

We propose a variance-penalized formulation of Bayesian optimal experimental design for nonlinear models that augments the classical expected utility criterion with a penalty on utility variability, yielding a mean--variance objective that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

We study model selection by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in fixed-dimensional exploratory factor analysis over a fixed finite family of compact covariance classes. Our main result shows that the BIC is strongly consistent for…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-10 Hien Duy Nguyen , Kei Hirose

This paper addresses the optimal covariance steering problem for stochastic discrete-time linear systems subject to probabilistic state and control constraints. A method is presented for efficiently attaining the exact solution of the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-06 George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This work is focused on finding G-optimal designs theoretically for kriging models with two-dimensional inputs and separable exponential covariance structures. For design comparison, the notion of evenness of two-dimensional grid designs is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-15 Subhadra Dasgupta , Siuli Mukhopadhyay , Jonathan Keith

Model misspecification in multivariate econometric models can strongly influence estimates of quantities of interest such as structural parameters, forecast distributions or responses to structural shocks, even more so if higher-order…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-09 Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Tobias Scheckel

e consider the experimental design problem in an online environment, an important practical task for reducing the variance of estimates in randomized experiments which allows for greater precision, and in turn, improved decision making. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Tung Mai , Anup Rao

The field of machine have seen rising applications of equivariance criterion. However, there is no systematic way to justify its usage, including why it works, whether there is an optimal solution and if so, what form it carries. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-23 Daowei Wang , Mian Wu , Haojin Zhou

Tie-breaker designs trade off a statistical design objective with short-term gain from preferentially assigning a binary treatment to those with high values of a running variable $x$. The design objective is any continuous function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

Two-phase designs measure variables of interest on a subcohort where the outcome and covariates are readily available or cheap to collect on all individuals in the cohort. Given limited resource availability, it is of interest to find an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Tong Chen , Thomas Lumley

We present an efficient method for computing A-optimal experimental designs for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Specifically, we address the problem of optimizing the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-05-29 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

In this paper some new properties and computational tools for finding KL-optimum designs are provided. KL-optimality is a general criterion useful to select the best experimental conditions to discriminate between statistical models. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Giacomo Aletti , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

Conventional gradient descent methods compute the gradients for multiple variables through the partial derivative. Treating the coupled variables independently while ignoring the interaction, however, leads to an insufficient optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Runqi Wang , Baochang Zhang , Li'an Zhuo , Qixiang Ye , David Doermann

We present a review of methods for optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations with infinite-dimensional parameters. The focus is on problems where one seeks to optimize the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-02-01 Alen Alexanderian

We propose a control-oriented optimal experimental design (cOED) approach for linear PDE-constrained Bayesian inverse problems. In particular, we consider optimal control problems with uncertain parameters that need to be estimated by…

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

Stepped-wedge designs are increasingly used in randomized experiments to accommodate logistical and ethical constraints by staggering treatment roll-out over time. Despite their popularity, existing analytical methods largely rely on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Liangbo Lyu , Bingkai Wang