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Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

Despite an extensive literature has been devoted to mine and model mobility features, forecasting where, when and whom people will encounter/colocate still deserve further research efforts. Forecasting people's encounter and colocation…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-10-07 Karim Karamat Jahromi , Matteo Zignani , Sabrina Gaito , Gian Paolo Rossi

Due to its wide reaching implications for everything from identifying hotspots of income inequality to political redistricting, there is a rich body of literature across the sciences quantifying spatial patterns in socioeconomic data. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-18 Alec Kirkley

We characterize the statistical bootstrap for the estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, with particular reference to its use in the study of large-scale social phenomena. Our methods allow one to preserve, approximately,…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-06-06 Simon DeDeo , Robert X. D. Hawkins , Sara Klingenstein , Tim Hitchcock

We propose a unified theoretical framework for quantifying spatio-temporal interactions in a stochastic dynamical system based on information geometry. In the proposed framework, the degree of interactions is quantified by the divergence…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-12-08 Masafumi Oizumi , Naotsugu Tsuchiya , Shun-ichi Amari

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

Cities are characterized by the coexistence of general aggregate patterns, along with many local variations. This poses challenges for analyses of urban phenomena, which tend to be either too aggregated or too local, depending on the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-30 Luís M. A. Bettencourt , Ivanna Rodriguez , Jordan T. Kemp , José Lobo

Understanding a complex system entails capturing the non-trivial collective phenomena that arise from interactions between its different parts. Information theory is a flexible and robust framework to study such behaviours, with several…

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Information Theory provides a fundamental basis for analysis, and for a variety of subsequent methodological approaches, in relation to uncertainty quantification. The transversal character of concepts and derived results justifies its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-27 Jose M. Angulo , Francisco J. Esquivel , Ana E. Madrid , Francisco J. Alonso

A practical notation can convey valuable intuitions and concisely express new ideas. Information theory is of importance to machine learning, but the notation for information-theoretic quantities is sometimes opaque. We propose a practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Andreas Kirsch , Yarin Gal

Information theory is an outstanding framework to measure uncertainty, dependence and relevance in data and systems. It has several desirable properties for real world applications: it naturally deals with multivariate data, it can handle…

We introduce a distributed, cooperative framework and method for Bayesian estimation and control in decentralized agent networks. Our framework combines joint estimation of time-varying global and local states with information-seeking…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-09-24 Florian Meyer , Henk Wymeersch , Markus Fröhle , Franz Hlawatsch

Most nervous systems encode information about stimuli in the responding activity of large neuronal networks. This activity often manifests itself as dynamically coordinated sequences of action potentials. Since multiple electrode recordings…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2011-11-09 Kristina Lisa Klinkner , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Marcelo F. Camperi

Spatial co-location patterns are the subsets of Boolean spatial features whose instances are often located in close geographic proximity. Co-location rules can be identified by spatial statistics or data mining approaches. In data mining…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2011-09-07 M. Venkatesan , Arunkumar Thangavelu , P. Prabhavathy

The traditional approach to the quantitative study of segregation is to employ indices that are selected by ``desirable properties''. Here, we detail how information theory underpins entropy-based indices and demonstrate how desirable…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-15 Boris Barron , Yunus A. Kinkhabwala , Chriss Hess , Matthew Hall , Itai Cohen , Tomás A. Arias

The paper considers a new quantitative-qualitative proximity measure for the features of information objects, where data enters a common information resource from several sources independently. The goal is to determine the possibility of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Volodymyr Yuzefovych

This paper proposes a new general approach based on Bayesian networks to model the human behaviour. This approach represents human behaviour withprobabilistic cause-effect relations based not only on previous works, but also with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-10-08 Khadija Tijani , Dung Ngo , Stephane Ploix , Benjamin Haas , Julie Dugdale

In this paper we consider an information theoretic approach for the accounting classification process. We propose a matrix formalism and an algorithm for calculations of information theoretic measures associated to accounting…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-09-30 E. M. S. Ribeiro , G. A. Prataviera

Reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty is crucial for machine learning applications, particularly in high-stakes scenarios where hedging against risks is essential. Despite its significance, there is no universal agreement on how to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter
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