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This article introduces a framework for evaluating statistical decisions under both prior ambiguity and likelihood misspecification. We begin with an ambiguity set - a frequentist model that pairs a possibly misspecified likelihood with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-14 Karun Adusumilli

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

The classical problem of quickest change detection is studied with an additional constraint on the cost of observations used in the detection process. The change point is modeled as an unknown constant, and minimax formulations are proposed…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-19 Taposh Banerjee , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In hypothesis testing, the phenomenon of label noise, in which hypothesis labels are switched at random, contaminates the likelihood functions. In this paper, we develop a new method to determine the decision rule when we do not have…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-10-28 Dennis Wei , Kush R. Varshney

This paper introduces a quasi-likelihood ratio testing procedure for diffusion processes observed under nonsynchronous sampling schemes. High-frequency data, particularly in financial econometrics, are often recorded at irregular time…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Teppei Ogihara , Futo Ueno

The problem of quickest detection of dynamic events in networks is studied. At some unknown time, an event occurs, and a number of nodes in the network are affected by the event, in that they undergo a change in the statistics of their…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-07-18 Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Jian Li , Don Towsley

In pure exploration problems, a statistician sequentially collects information to answer a question about some stochastic and unknown environment. The probability of returning a wrong answer should not exceed a maximum risk parameter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Riccardo Poiani , Martino Bernasconi , Andrea Celli

Randomized experiments have become important tools in empirical research. In a completely randomized treatment-control experiment, the simple difference in means of the outcome is unbiased for the average treatment effect, and covariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-01 Lihua Lei , Peng Ding

Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

This article considers stochastic algorithms for efficiently solving a class of large scale non-linear least squares (NLS) problems which frequently arise in applications. We propose eight variants of a practical randomized algorithm where…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-01-27 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Gábor J. Székely , Uri Ascher

We consider the problem of estimating a smooth functional of an unknown signal with discontinuity from Gaussian observations. The signal is a known function that depends on an unknown parameter. This problem is closely related to the famous…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-19 Farida Enikeeva

Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

The problem of quickest anomaly detection in networks with unlabeled samples is studied. At some unknown time, an anomaly emerges in the network and changes the data-generating distribution of some unknown sensor. The data vector received…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-19 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

The problem of quickest detection of a change in distribution is considered under the assumption that the pre-change distribution is known, and the post-change distribution is only known to belong to a family of distributions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-30 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

When a parameter of interest is nondifferentiable in the probability, the existing theory of semiparametric efficient estimation is not applicable, as it does not have an influence function. Song (2014) recently developed a local asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-12 Kyungchul Song

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Motivated by applications in cybersecurity and epidemiology, we consider the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the intensity of a Poisson process, characterised by a jump (non transitory change) or a bump (transitory change) from…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-09 Magalie Fromont , Fabrice Grela , Ronan Le Guével

Robust Optimization has traditionally taken a pessimistic, or worst-case viewpoint of uncertainty which is motivated by a desire to find sets of optimal policies that maintain feasibility under a variety of operating conditions. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-22 Matthew Norton , Akiko Takeda , Alexander Mafusalov