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We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Several non-pharmaceutical interventions have been proposed to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. On the large scale, these empirical solutions, often associated with extended and complete lockdowns, attempt to minimize the costs…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-23 M. Serra , S. al-Mosleh , S. Ganga Prasath , V. Raju , S. Mantena , J. Chandra , S. Iams , L. Mahadevan

The COVID-19 pandemic has forced changes in production and especially in human interaction, with "social distancing" a standard prescription for slowing transmission of the disease. This paper examines the economic effects of social…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-18 Alfredo D. Garcia , Christopher A. Hartwell , Martín Andrés Szybisz

Epidemic spreading can be suppressed by the introduction of containment measures such as social distancing and lock downs. Yet, when such measures are relaxed, new epidemic waves and infection cycles may occur. Here we explore this issue in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-07 Fabio Caccioli , Daniele De Martino

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and resulting COVID-19 disease have had an unprecedented spread and continue to cause an increasing number of fatalities worldwide. While vaccines are still under development, social distancing, extensive…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-02 Calvin Tsay , Fernando Lejarza , Mark A. Stadtherr , Michael Baldea

COVID-19 is a global epidemic. Till now, there is no remedy for this epidemic. However, isolation and social distancing are seemed to be effective preventive measures to control this pandemic. Therefore, in this paper, an optimization…

We use mobile device data to construct empirical interpersonal physical contact networks in the city of Portland, Oregon, both before and after social distancing measures were enacted during the COVID-19 pandemic. These networks reveal how…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-17 Gavin S. Hartnett , Edward Parker , Timothy R. Gulden , Raffaele Vardavas , David Kravitz

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

A system to model the spread of COVID-19 cases after lockdown has been proposed, to define new preventive measures based on hotspots, using the graph clustering algorithm. This method allows for more lenient measures in areas less prone to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Varun Nagesh Jolly Behera , Ashish Ranjan , Motahar Reza

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

Social distancing strategies have been adopted by governments to manage the COVID-19 pandemic, since the first outbreak began. However, further epidemic waves keep out the return of economic and social activities to their standard levels of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-07 J. E. Sereno , A. D' Jorge , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas , A. H. Gonzalez

In recent years, numerous advances have been made in understanding how epidemic dynamics is affected by changes in individual behaviours. We propose an SIS-based compartmental model to tackle the simultaneous and coupled evolution of an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-04 Giulia de Meijere , Hugo Martin

Many countries have passed their first COVID-19 epidemic peak. Traditional epidemiological models describe this as a result of non-pharmaceutical interventions that pushed the growth rate below the recovery rate. In this new phase of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-31 Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek , Rudolf Hanel

After the blockade that many nations suffered to stop the growth of the incidence curve of COVID-19 during the first half of 2020, they face the challenge of resuming their social and economic activity. The rapid airborne transmissibility…

In order to investigate the effectiveness of lockdown and social distancing restrictions, which have been widely carried out as policy choice to curb the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic around the world, we formulate and discuss a staged and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-20 Jing Ge , Daihai He , Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu , Zian Zhuang

The infectious diseases are spreading due to human interactions enabled by various social networks. Therefore, when a new pathogen such as SARS-CoV-2 causes an outbreak, the non-pharmaceutical isolation strategies (e.g., social distancing)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-20 Alexandru Topirceanu , Mihai Udrescu , Radu Marculescu

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

How does social distancing affect the reach of an epidemic in social networks? We present Monte Carlo simulation results of a capacity constrained Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model. The key modelling feature is that individuals are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-08 Gregory Gutin , Tomohiro Hirano , Sung-Ha Hwang , Philip R. Neary , Alexis Akira Toda