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The main focus of this chapter is on public health control strategies which are currently the main way to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce and compare compartmental models of increasing complexity for COVID-19 transmission to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-14 Redouane Qesmi , Aayah Hammoumi

The coronavirus (COVID-19) has appeared as the greatest challenge due to its continuous structural evolution as well as the absence of proper antidotes for this particular virus. The virus mainly spreads and replicates itself among mass…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Md. Tanvir Rahman , Risala T. Khan , Muhammad R. A. Khandaker , Md. Sifat Ar Salan

In the absence of neither an effective treatment or vaccine and with an incomplete understanding of the epidemiological cycle, Govt. has implemented a nationwide lockdown to reduce COVID-19 transmission in India. To study the effect of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-26 Tridip Sardar , Sk Shahid Nadim , Sourav Rana , Joydev Chattopadhyay

To curb the spread of COVID-19, many governments around the world have implemented tiered lockdowns with varying degrees of stringency. Lockdown levels are typically increased when the disease spreads and reduced when the disease abates. A…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-16 Laurentz E. Olivier , Stefan Botha , Ian K. Craig

COVID-19 outbreaks have proven to be very difficult to isolate and extinguish before they spread out. An important reason behind this might be that epidemiological barriers consisting in stopping symptomatic people are likely to fail…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-31 Ezequiel Alvarez , Leandro Da Rold , Federico Lamagna , Manuel Szewc

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

After the blockade that many nations suffered to stop the growth of the incidence curve of COVID-19 during the first half of 2020, they face the challenge of resuming their social and economic activity. The rapid airborne transmissibility…

The screening testing is an effective tool to control the early spread of an infectious disease such as COVID-19. When the total testing capacity is limited, we aim to optimally allocate testing resources among n counties. We build a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-28 Yaxuan Huang , Zheng Tracy Ke , Jiashun Jin

The synthetic control method is an empirical methodology forcausal inference using observational data. By observing thespread of COVID-19 throughout the world, we analyze the dataon the number of deaths and cases in different regions…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Niloofar Bayat , Cody Morrin , Yuheng Wang , Vishal Misra

Absent a drug or vaccine, containing epidemic outbreaks is achieved by means of social distancing, specifically mobility restrictions and lock-downs. Such measures impose a hurtful toll on the economy, and are difficult to sustain for…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-24 Dror Meidan , Nava Schulmann , Reuven Cohen , Simcha Haber , Eyal Yaniv , Ronit Sarid , Baruch Barzel

Due to modern transportation networks (airplanes, cruise ships, etc.) an epidemic in a given country or city may be triggered by the arrival of external infected agents. Posterior government quarantine policies are usually taken in order to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-06 L. A. Rodríguez Palomino , Adrián A. Budini

Social distancing has been the only effective way to contain the spread of an infectious disease prior to the availability of the pharmaceutical treatment. It can lower the infection rate of the disease at the economic cost. A pandemic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-07 Kexin Chen , Chi Seng Pun , Hoi Ying Wong

In this paper we conduct a simulation study of the spread of an epidemic like COVID-19 with temporary immunity on finite spatial and non-spatial network models. In particular, we assume that an epidemic spreads stochastically on a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-16 Tim Hulshof , Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy

While several non-pharmacological measures have been implemented for a few months in an effort to slow the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in the United States, the disease remains a danger in a number of counties as restrictions…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-06 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ronald Lee , Ali Mostafavi

To reduce the impact of COVID-19 pandemic most countries have implemented several counter-measures to control the virus spread including school and border closing, shutting down public transport and workplace and restrictions on gathering.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-09-14 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

Recent re-opening policies in the US, following a period of social distancing measures, introduced a significant increase in daily COVID-19 infections, calling for a roll-back or substantial revisiting of these policies in many states. The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-30 Chaoqi Yang , Ruijie Wang , Fangwei Gao , Dachun Sun , Jiawei Tang , Tarek Abdelzaher

Once an epidemic outbreak has been effectively contained through non-pharmaceutical interventions, a safe protocol is required for the subsequent release of social distancing restrictions to prevent a disastrous resurgence of the infection.…

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

In limiting the rapid spread of highly infectious diseases like Covid-19 means to immediately identify individuals who had been in contact with a newly diagnosed infected person have proven to be important. Such potential victims can go…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-04-01 Adam Wolisz