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Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

We consider the problem of chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function and satisfy constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The real world declinations of this problem are particularly…

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

In this article we consider a simple step stress set up under the cumulative exposure model assumption. At each stress level the lifetime distribution of the experimental units are assumed to follow the generalized exponential distribution.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Debashis Samanta , Debasis Kundu , Ayon Ganguly

The progressive censoring scheme has received considerable amount of attention in the last fifteen years. During the last few years joint progressive censoring scheme has gained some popularity. Recently, the authors Mondal and Kundu ("A…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-03 Shuvashree Mondal , Debasis Kundu

The performance of many machine learning models depends on their hyper-parameter settings. Bayesian Optimization has become a successful tool for hyper-parameter optimization of machine learning algorithms, which aims to identify optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Lidan Wang , Franck Dernoncourt , Trung Bui

Stochastic process discovery is concerned with deriving a model capable of reproducing the stochastic character of observed executions of a given process, stored in a log. This leads to an optimisation problem in which the model's parameter…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2025-05-01 Pierre Cry , Paolo Ballarini , András Horváth , Pascale Le Gall

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

In confirmatory clinical trials with small sample sizes, hypothesis tests based on asymptotic distributions are often not valid and exact non-parametric procedures are applied instead. However, the latter are based on discrete test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Robin Ristl , Dong Xi , Ekkehard Glimm , Martin Posch

Understanding how stochastic gene expression is regulated in biological systems using snapshots of single-cell transcripts requires state-of-the-art methods of computational analysis and statistical inference. A Bayesian approach to…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-12-10 Yen Ting Lin , Nicolas E. Buchler

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

Much recent research has been conducted in the area of Bayesian learning, particularly with regard to the optimization of hyper-parameters via Gaussian process regression. The methodologies rely chiefly on the method of maximizing the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-05-13 James Brofos

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

The progressive Type-II hybrid censoring scheme introduced by Kundu and Joarder (\textit{Computational Statistics and Data Analysis}, 2509-2528, 2006), has received some attention in the last few years. One major drawback of this censoring…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-06 Arnab Koley , Debasis Kundu

Computational capability often falls short when confronted with massive data, posing a common challenge in establishing a statistical model or statistical inference method dealing with big data. While subsampling techniques have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-31 Yixiao Ruan , Zan Li , Zhaohui Li , Dennis K. J. Lin , Qingpei Hu , Dan Yu

The i.i.d. censoring model for survival analysis assumes two independent sequences of i.i.d. positive random variables, $(T_i^*)_{1\le i\le n}$ and $(U_i)_{1\le i\le n}$. The data consists of observations on the random sequence…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-27 Ross A. Maller , Sidney I. Resnick

This paper considers the problem of Bayesian optimization for systems with safety-critical constraints, where both the objective function and the constraints are unknown, but can be observed by querying the system. In safety-critical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-06 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy , Francis J. Doyle

In this article, a general problem of sequential statistical inference for general discrete-time stochastic processes is considered. The problem is to minimize an average sample number given that Bayesian risk due to incorrect decision does…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-18 Andrey Novikov

Consider a statistical problem where a set of parameters are of interest to a researcher. Then multiple confidence intervals can be constructed to infer the set of parameters simultaneously. The constructed multiple confidence intervals are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Taeho Kim , Edsel A. Pena