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This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-08 Kangqiang Li , Songqiao Tang , Lixin Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the expected causal effect $E[Y|do(X)]$ for a target variable $Y$ when treatment $X$ is set by intervention, focusing on continuous random variables. In settings without selection bias or confounding,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-27 Marlies Hafer , Alexander Marx

The Bayes Error Rate (BER) is the fundamental limit on the achievable generalizable classification accuracy of any machine learning model due to inherent uncertainty within the data. BER estimators offer insight into the difficulty of any…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Lesley Wheat , Martin v. Mohrenschildt , Saeid Habibi

We consider signals that follow a parametric distribution where the parameter values are unknown. To estimate such signals from noisy measurements in scalar channels, we study the empirical performance of an empirical Bayes (EB) approach…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-05-12 Yanting Ma , Jin Tan , Nikhil Krishnan , Dror Baron

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is computationally expensive, especially for complex models. Alternative methods make simplifying assumptions about the posterior to reduce computational burden, but their impact on predictive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Florian D. van Leeuwen , Sara van Erp

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Reduced-rank approach has been used for decades in robust linear estimation of both deterministic and random vector of parameters in linear model y=Hx+\sqrt{epsilon}n. In practical settings, estimation is frequently performed under…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-05 Tomasz Piotrowski , Isao Yamada

Error bound conditions (EBC) are properties that characterize the growth of an objective function when a point is moved away from the optimal set. They have recently received increasing attention in the field of optimization for developing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Mingrui Liu , Xiaoxuan Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang

The expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is a widespread method for empirical Bayesian inference, but its expectation step (E-step) is often intractable. Employing a stochastic approximation scheme with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Alain Oliviero Durmus , Jacob R. Gardner

The empirical Bayes estimators in mixed models are useful for small area estimation in the sense of increasing precision of prediction for small area means, and one wants to know the prediction errors of the empirical Bayes estimators based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider the problem of estimating the means $\mu_i$ of $n$ random variables $Y_i \sim N(\mu_i,1)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$. Assuming some structure on the $\mu$ process, e.g., a state space model, one may use a summary statistics for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-05 E. Greenshtein , A. Mansura , Y. Ritov

We study the effects of missingness on the estimation of population parameters. Moving beyond restrictive missing completely at random (MCAR) assumptions, we first formulate a missing data analogue of Huber's arbitrary…

For a larger set of predictions of several differently trained machine learning models, known as bagging predictors, the mean of all predictions is taken by default. Nevertheless, this proceeding can deviate from the actual ground truth in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Philipp Seitz , Jan Schmitt , Andreas Schiffler

As a competitive alternative to least squares regression, quantile regression is popular in analyzing heterogenous data. For quantile regression model specified for one single quantile level $\tau$, major difficulties of semiparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-29 Kani Chen , Yuanyuan Lin , Zhanfeng Wang , Zhiliang Ying

The quality of a Bayes factor crucially depends on the number of regressors, the sample size and the prior on the regression parameters, and hence it has to be established in a case-by-case basis. In this paper we analyze the consistency of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-20 Elías Moreno , J. J. Serrano-Pérez , F. Torres-Ruiz

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a flexible machine learning algorithm capable of capturing nonlinearities between an outcome and covariates and interaction among covariates. We extend BART to a semiparametric regression…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Bret Zeldow , Vincent Lo Re , Jason Roy

In recent years, theoretical results and simulation evidence have shown Bayesian additive regression trees to be a highly-effective method for nonparametric regression. Motivated by cost-effectiveness analyses in health economics, where…

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

Due to the growing adoption of deep neural networks in many fields of science and engineering, modeling and estimating their uncertainties has become of primary importance. Despite the growing literature about uncertainty quantification in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-15 Brian Staber , Sébastien Da Veiga