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Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

Model instability and poor prediction of long-term behavior are common problems when modeling dynamical systems using nonlinear "black-box" techniques. Direct optimization of the long-term predictions, often called simulation error…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-01-25 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

For a certain class of McKean-Vlasov processes, we introduce proxy processes that substitute the mean-field interaction with self-interaction, employing a weighted occupation measure. Our study encompasses two key achievements. First, we…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Kai Du , Zhenjie Ren , Florin Suciu , Songbo Wang

In order to describe the extremal behaviour of some stochastic process $X$, approaches from univariate extreme value theory are typically generalized to the spatial domain. In particular, generalized peaks-over-threshold approaches allow…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Max Thannheimer , Marco Oesting

This paper focuses on the distributed online convex optimization problem with time-varying inequality constraints over a network of agents, where each agent collaborates with its neighboring agents to minimize the cumulative network-wide…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-06 Kunpeng Zhang , Xinlei Yi , Yuzhe Li , Ming Cao , Tianyou Chai , Tao Yang

Self-organizing systems demonstrate how simple local rules can generate complex stochastic patterns. Many natural systems rely on such dynamics, making self-organization central to understanding natural complexity. A fundamental challenge…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2026-01-12 Elias Najarro , Nicolas Bessone , Sebastian Risi

In this paper, we address tracking of a time-varying parameter with unknown dynamics. We formalize the problem as an instance of online optimization in a dynamic setting. Using online gradient descent, we propose a method that sequentially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-17 Aryan Mokhtari , Shahin Shahrampour , Ali Jadbabaie , Alejandro Ribeiro

We consider the nonconvex regularized method for low-rank matrix recovery. Under the assumption on the singular values of the parameter matrix, we provide the recovery bound for any stationary point of the nonconvex method by virtue of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-24 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-06 Somnath Chakraborty , Johannes Lederer , Rainer von Sachs

We present a positive solution to the so-called Bernoulli Conjecture concerning the characterization of sample boundedness of Bernoulli processes. We also discuss some applications and related open problems.

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-19 Witold Bednorz , Rafał Latała

Consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of an unknown $\beta$-H\"older smooth density $p_{XY}$ at a given point, where $X$ and $Y$ are both $d$ dimensional. An infinite sequence of i.i.d.\ samples $(X_i,Y_i)$ are generated…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Jingbo Liu

Procedural material models have been gaining traction in many applications thanks to their flexibility, compactness, and easy editability. We explore the inverse rendering problem of procedural material parameter estimation from…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Yu Guo , Milos Hasan , Lingqi Yan , Shuang Zhao

In classical Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), action costs and transition probabilities are assumed to be known, although an accurate estimation of these parameters is often not possible in practice. This study addresses MDPs under cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-06-24 Merve Merakli , Simge Kucukyavuz

Network meta-analysis (NMA) of rare events has attracted little attention in the literature. Until recently, networks of interventions with rare events were analyzed using the inverse-variance NMA approach. However, when events are rare the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-22 Theodoros Evrenoglou , Ian White , Sivem Afach , Dimitris Mavridis , Anna Chaimani

Face-to-face interactions reveal recurring patterns, suggesting the possibility of shared underlying mechanisms. More specifically, inter-contact durations, contact durations and number of contacts per edge share similar heavy-tail…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-02 Juliette Gambaudo , Mathieu Génois

A fundamental task in phase retrieval is to recover an unknown signal $\vx\in \Rn$ from a set of magnitude-only measurements $y_i=\abs{\nj{\va_i,\vx}}, \; i=1,\ldots,m$. In this paper, we propose two novel perturbed amplitude models (PAMs)…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-16 Jian-Feng Cai , Meng Huang , Dong Li , Yang Wang

The individual data collected throughout patient follow-up constitute crucial information for assessing the risk of a clinical event, and eventually for adapting a therapeutic strategy. Joint models and landmark models have been proposed to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Anthony Devaux , Robin Genuer , Karine Pérès , Cécile Proust-Lima

We investigate methods for penalized regression in the presence of missing observations. This paper introduces a method for estimating the parameters which compensates for the missing observations. We first, derive an unbiased estimator of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-10-09 Yunjin Choi , Robert Tibshirani

Determinantal point processes (DPPs), which arise in random matrix theory and quantum physics, are natural models for subset selection problems where diversity is preferred. Among many remarkable properties, DPPs offer tractable algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Alex Kulesza , Ben Taskar
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