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The conventional approach to Bayesian decision-theoretic experiment design involves searching over possible experiments to select a design that maximizes the expected value of a specified utility function. The expectation is over the joint…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Tommie A. Catanach , Niladri Das

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

A Bayesian design is given by maximising an expected utility over a design space. The utility is chosen to represent the aim of the experiment and its expectation is taken with respect to all unknowns: responses, parameters and/or models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

Expected Fisher information can be found a priori and as a result its inverse is the primary variance approximation used in the design of experiments. This is in contrast to the common claim that the inverse of observed Fisher information…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Adam Lane

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

Recently proposed methods in data subset selection, that is active learning and active sampling, use Fisher information, Hessians, similarity matrices based on gradients, and gradient lengths to estimate how informative data is for a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Andreas Kirsch , Yarin Gal

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

The design of informatively rich input signals is essential for accurate system identification, yet classical Fisher-information-based methods are inherently local and often inadequate in the presence of significant model uncertainty and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-15 Piotr Bania , Anna Wójcik

In this work the primary objective is to maximize the precision of the maximum likelihood estimate in a linear regression model through the efficient design of the experiment. One common measure of precision is the unconditional mean square…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-27 Adam Lane

Most computational approaches to Bayesian experimental design require making posterior calculations repeatedly for a large number of potential designs and/or simulated datasets. This can be expensive and prohibit scaling up these methods to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Dennis Prangle , Sophie Harbisher , Colin S Gillespie

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

In many statistical applications that concern mathematical psychologists, the concept of Fisher information plays an important role. In this tutorial we clarify the concept of Fisher information as it manifests itself across three different…

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

Traditionally Bayesian decision-theoretic design of experiments proceeds by choosing a design to minimise expectation of a given loss function over the space of all designs. The loss function encapsulates the aim of the experiment, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

Classically, Fisher information is the relevant object in defining optimal experimental designs. However, for models that lack certain regularity, the Fisher information does not exist and, hence, there is no notion of design optimality…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-04 Yi Lin , Ryan Martin , Min Yang

Current experimental design techniques for dynamical systems often only incorporate measurement noise, while dynamical systems also involve process noise. To construct experimental designs we need to quantify their information content. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Arno Strouwen , Bart M. Nicolaï , Peter Goos

Active inference, a corollary of the free energy principle, is a formal way of describing the behavior of certain kinds of random dynamical systems that have the appearance of sentience. In this chapter, we describe how active inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Noor Sajid , Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr , Karl Friston

An approach based on the Fisher information (FI) is developed to quantify the maximum information gain and optimal experimental design in neutron reflectometry experiments. In these experiments, the FI can be analytically calculated and…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-08-03 James H. Durant , Lucas Wilkins , Keith Butler , Joshaniel F. K. Cooper

We present a toolbox of new techniques and concepts for the efficient forecasting of experimental sensitivities. These are applicable to a large range of scenarios in (astro-)particle physics, and based on the Fisher information formalism.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-02-28 Thomas D. P. Edwards , Christoph Weniger

History-dependent constitutive models serve as macroscopic closures for the aggregated effects of micromechanics. Their parameters are typically learned from experimental data. With a limited experimental budget, eliciting the full range of…

材料科学 · 物理学 2026-04-28 Kaushik Bhattacharya , Lianghao Cao , Andrew Stuart
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