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相关论文: KryptoOracle: A Real-Time Cryptocurrency Price Pre…

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A model is proposed for Bitcoin prices that takes into account market attention. Market attention, modeled by a mean-reverting Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes, affects the volatility of Bitcoin returns, with some delay. The model is affine and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-01-17 Alvaro Guinea Julia , Alet Roux

The digital town hall of Twitter becomes a preferred medium of communication for individuals and organizations across the globe. Some of them reach audiences of millions, while others struggle to get noticed. Given the impact of social…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Damian Konrad Kowalczyk , Jan Larsen

The rapid growth of the stock market has attracted many investors due to its potential for significant profits. However, predicting stock prices accurately is difficult because financial markets are complex and constantly changing. This is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Abdelatif Hafid , Maad Ebrahim , Ali Alfatemi , Mohamed Rahouti , Diogo Oliveira

Crypto-coins (also known as cryptocurrencies) are tradable digital assets. Notable examples include Bitcoin, Ether and Litecoin. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-05 Pasquale De Rosa , Valerio Schiavoni

In modern times, the cryptocurrency market is one of the world's most rapidly rising financial markets. The cryptocurrency market is regarded to be more volatile and illiquid than traditional markets such as equities, foreign exchange, and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-03 Anika Tahsin Meem

Price feeds of securities is a critical component for many financial services, allowing for collateral liquidation, margin trading, derivative pricing and more. With the advent of blockchain technology, value in reporting accurate prices…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-23 Orhan Koc

Bitcoin and its decentralized computing paradigm for digital currency trading are one of the most disruptive technology in the 21st century. This paper presents a novel approach to developing a Bitcoin transaction forecast model,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-03-10 Wenqi Wei , Qi Zhang , Ling Liu

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are one of the most controversial and complex technological innovations in today's financial system. This study aims to forecast the movements of Bitcoin prices at a high degree of accuracy. To this aim,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-09 Hakan Pabuccu , Serdar Ongan , Ayse Ongan

Since Bitcoin first appeared on the scene in 2009, cryptocurrencies have become a worldwide phenomenon as important decentralized financial assets. Their decentralized nature, however, leads to notable volatility against traditional fiat…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-23 Zeyd Boukhers , Azeddine Bouabdallah , Cong Yang , Jan Jürjens

We endorse the idea, suggested in recent literature, that BitCoin prices are influenced by sentiment and confidence about the underlying technology; as a consequence, an excitement about the BitCoin system may propagate to BitCoin prices…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-23 Alessandra Cretarola , Gianna Figà-Talamanca

The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Juan C. King , Roberto Dale , José M. Amigó

We propose a novel approach to marked Hawkes kernel inference which we name the moment-based neural Hawkes estimation method. Hawkes processes are fully characterized by their first and second order statistics through a Fredholm integral…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-02 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer cryptographic currency system. Since its introduction in 2008, Bitcoin has gained noticeable popularity, mostly due to its following properties: (1) the transaction fees are very low, and (2) it is not controlled…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2014-07-01 Marcin Andrychowicz , Stefan Dziembowski , Daniel Malinowski , Łukasz Mazurek

We propose an innovative data-driven option pricing methodology that relies exclusively on the dataset of historical underlying asset prices. While the dataset is rooted in the objective world, option prices are commonly expressed as…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-01-23 Min Dai , Hanqing Jin , Xi Yang

Bitcoin is firmly becoming a mainstream asset in our global society. Its highly volatile nature has traders and speculators flooding into the market to take advantage of its significant price swings in the hope of making money. This work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Nathan Crone , Eoin Brophy , Tomas Ward

There is currently an increasing demand for cryptoasset analysis tools among cryptoasset service providers, the financial industry in general, as well as across academic fields. At the moment, one can choose between commercial services or…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-03-01 Bernhard Haslhofer , Rainer Stütz , Matteo Romiti , Ross King

The paper studies the linear model for Bitcoin price which includes regression features based on Bitcoin currency statistics, mining processes, Google search trends, Wikipedia pages visits. The pattern of deviation of regression model…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-11 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

Blockchain has evolved into a platform for decentralized applications, with beneficial properties like high integrity, transparency, and resilience against censorship and tampering. However, blockchains are closed-world systems which do not…

Today's blockchain landscape is severely fragmented as more and more heterogeneous blockchain platforms have been developed in recent years. These blockchain platforms are not able to interact with each other or with the outside world since…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-11-22 Michael Sober , Giulia Scaffino , Christof Spanring , Stefan Schulte