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We study tail risk dynamics in high-frequency financial markets and their connection with trading activity and market uncertainty. We introduce a dynamic extreme value regression model accommodating both stationary and local unit-root…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-05 Julien Hambuckers , Li Sun , Luca Trapin

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

We study sequential testing for a binary disease outcome when risk follows an unknown logistic model. At each round, the decision maker may either pay for a test revealing the true label or predict the outcome based on patient features and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Tavor Z. Baharav , Spyros Dragazis , Aldo Pacchiano

Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) have been used extensively in statistical models of spike train data. However, the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters and their uncertainty, can be challenging to compute in situations…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-07 Sahand Farhoodi , Uri Eden

We study the problem of online generalized linear regression in the stochastic setting, where the label is generated from a generalized linear model with possibly unbounded additive noise. We provide a sharp analysis of the classical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Heyang Zhao , Dongruo Zhou , Jiafan He , Quanquan Gu

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li

We investigate the optimality for model selection of the so-called slope heuristics, $V$-fold cross-validation and $V$-fold penalization in a heteroscedastic with random design regression context. We consider a new class of linear models…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-08 Fabien Navarro , Adrien Saumard

This paper proposes a novel method to estimate large panel data error-correction models with stationary/non-stationary covariates and spatially dependent errors, which allows for known/unknown group-specific patterns of slope heterogeneity.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-12 Ba Chu

Regression by composition provides a flexible framework for constructing conditional distributions through sequential group actions. However, when multiple flows act on the same distribution, the model becomes non-identifiable, leading to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Safaa K. Kadhem

Prior work (Klochkov $\&$ Zhivotovskiy, 2021) establishes at most $O\left(\log (n)/n\right)$ excess risk bounds via algorithmic stability for strongly-convex learners with high probability. We show that under the similar common assumptions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Mingyang Yi , Yong Liu

As machine learning applications grow increasingly ubiquitous and complex, they face an increasing set of requirements beyond accuracy. The prevalent approach to handle this challenge is to aggregate a weighted combination of requirement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Aneesh Barthakur , Luiz F. O. Chamon

The paper focuses on the automatic selection of the grouped explanatory variables in an high-dimensional model, when the model errors are asymmetric. After introducing the model and notations, we define the adaptive group LASSO expectile…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-14 Angelo Alcaraz , Gabriela Ciuperca

We consider the problem of adaptive estimation of the regression function in a framework where we replace ergodicity assumptions (such as independence or mixing) by another structural assumption on the model. Namely, we propose adaptive…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-03 Sylvain Delattre , Stéphane Gaïffas

This paper studies sparse linear regression analysis with outliers in the responses. A parameter vector for modeling outliers is added to the standard linear regression model and then the sparse estimation problem for both coefficients and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-21 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

We give a general result concerning the rates of convergence of penalized empirical risk minimizers (PERM) in the regression model. Then, we consider the problem of agnostic learning of the regression, and give in this context an oracle…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-30 S. Gaïffas , G. Lecué

This paper introduces an iterative algorithm for training nonparametric additive models that enjoys favorable memory storage and computational requirements. The algorithm can be viewed as the functional counterpart of stochastic gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski

We consider the optimization problem of minimizing the logistic loss with gradient descent to train a linear model for binary classification with separable data. With a budget of $T$ iterations, it was recently shown that an accelerated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Michael Crawshaw , Mingrui Liu

We consider the problem of controlling an unknown stochastic linear system with quadratic costs - called the adaptive LQ control problem. We re-examine an approach called ''Reward Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimate'' (RBMLE) that was…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-27 Akshay Mete , Rahul Singh , P. R. Kumar

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu