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We introduce a general Monte Carlo method based on Nested Sampling (NS), for sampling complex probability distributions and estimating the normalising constant. The method uses one or more particles, which explore a mixture of nested…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-02-27 Brendon J. Brewer , Livia B. Pártay , Gábor Csányi

Atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) extracted from satellite imagery are the only wind observations with good global coverage. They are important features for feeding numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Several Bayesian models have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Patrick Héas , Frédéric Cérou , Mathias Rousset

Decision tree learning is a popular approach for classification and regression in machine learning and statistics, and Bayesian formulations---which introduce a prior distribution over decision trees, and formulate learning as posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-08-26 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Daniel M. Roy , Yee Whye Teh

Federated learning performed by a decentralized networks of agents is becoming increasingly important with the prevalence of embedded software on autonomous devices. Bayesian approaches to learning benefit from offering more information as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Adam Cobb , Tara Javidi , Brian Jalaian

The Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is a statistical methodology used in a large number of applications. It uses repeated random sampling to solve problems with a probability interpretation to obtain high-quality numerical results. The MCS is…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Wei-Chang Yeh

Adaptive and interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) have been recently introduced in the literature. These novel simulation algorithms are designed to increase the simulation efficiency to sample complex distributions.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-15 G. Fort , E. Moulines , P. Priouret

Many deep neural networks have been used to solve Ising models, including autoregressive neural networks, convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks, and graph neural networks. Learning a probability distribution of energy…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-11-20 Qunlong Ma , Zhi Ma , Jinlong Xu , Hairui Zhang , Ming Gao

Deep learning has an increasing impact to assist research, allowing, for example, the discovery of novel materials. Until now, however, these artificial intelligence techniques have fallen short of discovering the full differential equation…

Proposals for Metropolis-Hastings MCMC derived by discretizing Langevin diffusion or Hamiltonian dynamics are examples of stochastic autoregressive proposals that form a natural wider class of proposals with equivalent computability. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-10-05 Richard A. Norton , Colin Fox

Simulation of turbulent flows at high Reynolds number is a computationally challenging task relevant to a large number of engineering and scientific applications in diverse fields such as climate science, aerodynamics, and combustion.…

Generative Stochastic Networks (GSNs) have been recently introduced as an alternative to traditional probabilistic modeling: instead of parametrizing the data distribution directly, one parametrizes a transition operator for a Markov chain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-09-04 Sherjil Ozair , Li Yao , Yoshua Bengio

We propose a micro-macro parallel-in-time Parareal method for scalar McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In the algorithm, the fine Parareal propagator is a Monte Carlo simulation of an ensemble of particles, while an…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-31 Ignace Bossuyt , Stefan Vandewalle , Giovanni Samaey

This paper shows that the autoregressive model is an effective and scalable monocular depth estimator. Our idea is simple: We tackle the monocular depth estimation (MDE) task with an autoregressive prediction paradigm, based on two core…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Jinhong Wang , Jian Liu , Dongqi Tang , Weiqiang Wang , Wentong Li , Danny Chen , Jintai Chen , Jian Wu

Binary optimization has a wide range of applications in combinatorial optimization problems such as MaxCut, MIMO detection, and MaxSAT. However, these problems are typically NP-hard due to the binary constraints. We develop a novel…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-04 Cheng Chen , Ruitao Chen , Tianyou Li , Ruichen Ao , Zaiwen Wen

Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

Recently a machine learning approach to Monte-Carlo simulations called Neural Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (NMCMC) is gaining traction. In its most popular form it uses neural networks to construct normalizing flows which are then trained to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-01 Piotr Bialas , Piotr Korcyl , Tomasz Stebel

Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over-/under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

We propose an accurate data-driven numerical scheme to solve Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs), by taking large time steps. The SDE discretization is built up by means of a polynomial chaos expansion method, on the basis of…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-09-24 Shuaiqiang Liu , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We propose an efficient Monte Carlo algorithm for simulating a ``hardly-relaxing" system, in which many replicas with different temperatures are simultaneously simulated and a virtual process exchanging configurations of these replica is…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Koji Hukushima , Koji Nemoto

We introduce a new approach for amortizing inference in directed graphical models by learning heuristic approximations to stochastic inverses, designed specifically for use as proposal distributions in sequential Monte Carlo methods. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-09 Brooks Paige , Frank Wood