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Currently, there are no convincing proxies for the fundamentals of cryptocurrency assets. We propose a new market-to-fundamental ratio, the price-to-utility (PU) ratio, utilizing unique blockchain accounting methods. We then proxy various…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-11 Yulin Liu , Luyao Zhang

The volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges for accurate price forecasting. This research proposes a hybrid deep learning and machine learning model that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-30 Mehul Gautam

As CryptoPunks pioneers the innovation of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) in AI and art, the valuation mechanics of NFTs has become a trending topic. Earlier research identifies the impact of ethics and society on the price prediction of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-07-24 Luyao Zhang , Yutong Sun , Yutong Quan , Jiaxun Cao , Xin Tong

Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin (BTC), which comprise a new digital asset class, have drawn extraordinary worldwide attention. The characteristics of the cryptocurrency/BTC include a high level of speculation, extreme volatility and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-24 Ai Jun Hou , Weining Wang , Cathy Y. H. Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Our work presents two fundamental contributions. On the application side, we tackle the challenging problem of predicting day-ahead crypto-currency prices. On the methodological side, a new dynamical modeling approach is proposed. Our…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-28 Shalini Sharma , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

Sentiment analysis can be used for stock market prediction. However, existing research has not studied the impact of a user's financial background on sentiment-based forecasting of the stock market using artificial neural networks. In this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Ziyuan Ma , Conor Ryan , Jim Buckley , Muslim Chochlov

Bitcoin is the first implementation of what has become known as a 'public permissionless' blockchain. Guaranteeing security and protocol conformity through its elegant combination of cryptographic assurances and game theoretic economic…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-02-23 D. McGinn , D McIlwraith , Y. Guo

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile compared to traditional financial markets. Hence, forecasting its volatility is crucial for risk management. In this paper, we investigate CryptoQuant data (e.g. on-chain analytics, exchange and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-06-13 Dorien Herremans , Kah Wee Low

Bitcoins have recently become an increasingly popular cryptocurrency through which users trade electronically and more anonymously than via traditional electronic transfers. Bitcoin's design keeps all transactions in a public ledger. The…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-02-06 Michael Fleder , Michael S. Kester , Sudeep Pillai

This paper will propose a novel machine learning based portfolio management method in the context of the cryptocurrency market. Previous researchers mainly focus on the prediction of the movement for specific cryptocurrency such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Zijiang Yang

Cryptocurrencies gain trust in users by publicly disclosing the full creation and transaction history. In return, the transaction history faithfully records the whole spectrum of cryptocurrency user behaviors. This article analyzes and…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Xiao Fan Liu , Xin-Jian Jiang , Si-Hao Liu , Chi Kong Tse

This study investigates how media influence and educational resources shape individual engagement with cryptocurrencies. As digital assets become increasingly mainstream, social media platforms, influencers, and financial analysts play a…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Fahed Quttainah

We implement traditional machine learning and deep learning methods for global tweets from 2017-2022 to build a high-frequency measure of the public's sentiment index on inflation and analyze its correlation with other online data sources…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-15 Xinyu Li , Zihan Tang

This paper is to explore the possibility to use alternative data and artificial intelligence techniques to trade stocks. The efficacy of the daily Twitter sentiment on predicting the stock return is examined using machine learning methods.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-09 Catherine Xiao , Wanfeng Chen

This is the first paper that estimates the price determinants of BitCoin in a Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework using high frequency data. Derived from a theoretical model, we estimate BitCoin transaction…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-12-27 Pavel Ciaian , d'Artis Kancs , Miroslava Rajcaniova

The dramatic adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the USA has revolutionized the financial landscape and provided unprecedented investment and transaction efficiency opportunities. The prime objective of this research project…

This paper describes an architecture for predicting the price of cryptocurrencies for the next seven days using the Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Historical data of cryptocurrencies and indexes that are considered…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-06 Ali Mehrban , Pegah Ahadian

Emerging interest of trading companies and hedge funds in mining social web has created new avenues for intelligent systems that make use of public opinion in driving investment decisions. It is well accepted that at high frequency trading,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2012-12-06 Tushar Rao , Saket Srivastava

Bitcoins have emerged as a possible competitor to usual currencies, but other crypto-currencies have likewise appeared as competitors to the Bitcoin currency. The expanding market of crypto-currencies now involves capital equivalent to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-03-26 Stefan Bornholdt , Kim Sneppen

Bitcoin and other similar digital currencies on blockchains are not ideal means for payment, because their prices tend to go up in the long term (thus people are incentivized to hoard those currencies), and to fluctuate widely in the short…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-05-17 Kenji Saito , Mitsuru Iwamura
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