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We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-29 Botond Szabo , Amine Hadji , Aad van der Vaart

The well-known Bayes theorem assumes that a posterior distribution is a probability distribution. However, the posterior distribution may no longer be a probability distribution if an improper prior distribution (non-probability measure)…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-08-28 Hyungsuk Tak , Sujit K. Ghosh , Justin A. Ellis

Inverse problems, particularly those governed by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), are prevalent in various scientific and engineering applications, and uncertainty quantification (UQ) of solutions to these problems is essential for…

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Kellin N. Rumsey , Devin Francom , Graham C. Gibson , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of algorithmic methods in Bayesian inference using statistical summaries and computer simulations. ABC has become popular in evolutionary genetics and in other branches of biology. However…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-05-03 Olivier Francois , Guillaume Laval

Bayesian binary regression is a prosperous area of research due to the computational challenges encountered by currently available methods either for high-dimensional settings or large datasets, or both. In the present work, we focus on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

The Bayesian statistical paradigm uses the language of probability to express uncertainty about the phenomena that generate observed data. Probability distributions thus characterize Bayesian analysis, with the rules of probability used to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-12-08 Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier , Christian P. Robert

The Rician distribution, a well-known statistical distribution frequently encountered in fields like magnetic resonance imaging and wireless communications, is particularly useful for describing many real phenomena such as signal process…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Jesus Enrique Achire Quispe , Eduardo Ramos , Pedro Luiz Ramos

Bayesian solution of an inverse problem for indirect measurement $M = AU + {\mathcal{E}}$ is considered, where $U$ is a function on a domain of $R^d$. Here $A$ is a smoothing linear operator and $ {\mathcal{E}}$ is Gaussian white noise. The…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-28 Matti Lassas. Eero Saksman , Samuli Siltanen

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

The binary Mumford-Shah model is a widespread tool for image segmentation and can be considered as a basic model in shape optimization with a broad range of applications in computer vision, ranging from basic segmentation and labeling to…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-05-21 Benjamin Berkels , Alexander Effland , Martin Rumpf

Recent experimental breakthroughs have signalled the imminent arrival of the early fault-tolerant era. However, for a considerable period in the foreseeable future, relying solely on quantum error correction for full error suppression will…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-02-18 Kecheng Liu , Zhenyu Cai

In this work, we address the problem of solving a series of underdetermined linear inverse problems subject to a sparsity constraint. We generalize the spike-and-slab prior distribution to encode a priori correlation of the support of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-19 Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari , Ole Winther , Lars Kai Hansen

We present BayesQ, an uncertainty-guided post-training quantization framework that is the first to optimize quantization under the posterior expected loss. BayesQ fits a lightweight Gaussian posterior over weights (diagonal Laplace by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Ismail Lamaakal , Chaymae Yahyati , Yassine Maleh , Khalid El Makkaoui , Ibrahim Ouahbi

The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

In recent years we have witnessed a growth in mathematics for deep learning, which has been used to solve inverse problems of partial differential equations (PDEs). However, most deep learning-based inversion methods either require paired…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-23 Enze Jiang , Jishen Peng , Zheng Ma , Xiong-Bin Yan

Observational healthcare data offer the potential to estimate causal effects of medical products on a large scale. However, the confidence intervals and p-values produced by observational studies only account for random error and fail to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-02 Jami J. Mulgrave , David Madigan , George Hripcsak