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相关论文: A Socioeconomic Well-Being Index

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Accurate forecasting of downside risks to economic growth is critically important for policymakers and financial institutions, particularly in the wake of recent economic crises. This paper extends the Growth-at-Risk (GaR) approach by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-10 Cansu Isler

Through a novel approach, this paper shows that substantial change in stock market behavior has a statistically and economically significant impact on equity risk premium predictability both on in-sample and out-of-sample cases. In line…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-16 Kuok Sin Un , Marcel Ausloos

We create a time series model for annual returns of three asset classes: the USA Standard & Poor (S&P) stock index, the international stock index, and the USA Bank of America investment-grade corporate bond index. Using this, we made an…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-12-29 Andrey Sarantsev , Angel Piotrowski , Ian Anderson

A four-pronged approach to dealing with Social Science Phenomenon is outlined. This methodology is applied to Financial Services, Economic Growth and Well-Being. The four prongs are like the four directions for an army general looking for…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-05-10 Ravi Kashyap

The psychological costs of the attention economy are often considered through the binary of harmful design and healthy use, with digital well-being chiefly characterised as a matter of personal responsibility. This article adopts an…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-03-17 Niall Docherty , Asia J. Biega

Social health and emotional wellness is a matter of concern in today's urban world. Being the part of a metropolis has an effect on mental health through the influence of increased stressors and factors such as overcrowded and polluted…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Rohit Ner , Dibya Prakash Das , Rishabh Kumar , Shubhika Garg

This paper introduces a new risk-on risk-off strategy for the stock market, which combines a financial stress indicator with a sentiment analysis done by ChatGPT reading and interpreting Bloomberg daily market summaries. Forecasts of market…

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

'Animal spirits' or confidence levels are heavily dependent on how current conditions compare to adaptation levels. In the US, with its highly flexible labor markets and weak safety nets, the unemployment rate seems to serve as a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Elliott Middleton

Along with the advance of opinion mining techniques, public mood has been found to be a key element for stock market prediction. However, how market participants' behavior is affected by public mood has been rarely discussed. Consequently,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-04-18 Frank Z. Xing , Erik Cambria , Lorenzo Malandri , Carlo Vercellis

This study presents for the first time the SWB-J index, a subjective well-being indicator for Japan based on Twitter data. The index is composed by eight dimensions of subjective well-being and is estimated relying on Twitter data by using…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Tiziana Carpi , Airo Hino , Stefano Maria Iacus , Giuseppe Porro

We develop a new stock market index that captures the chaos existing in the market by measuring the mutual changes of asset prices. This new index relies on a tensor-based embedding of the stock market information, which in turn frees it…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-06-09 Masoud Ataei , Shengyuan Chen , Zijiang Yang , M. Reza Peyghami

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

This paper applies a novel technique of opinion analysis over social media data with the aim of proposing a new indicator of perceived and subjective well-being. This new index, namely SWBI, examines several dimension of individual and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Stefano Maria Iacus , Giuseppe Porro , Silvia Salini , Elena Siletti

Among other macroeconomic indicators, the monthly release of U.S. unemployment rate figures in the Employment Situation report by the U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics gets a lot of media attention and strongly affects the stock markets. I…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-05-02 Johannes Bock

Social ties are strongly related to well-being. But what characterizes this relationship? This study investigates social mechanisms explaining how social ties affect well-being through social integration and social influence, and how…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-09 Timon Elmer , Zsofia Boda , Christoph Stadtfeld

In economic applications, model averaging has found principal use examining the validity of various theories related to observed heterogeneity in outcomes such as growth, development, and trade.Though often easy to articulate, these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-16 Alex Lenkoski , Fredrik Lohne Aanes

This paper proposes a new measure of tail risk spillover. The empirical application provides evidence of significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from the financial sector to many real economy sectors in the U.S. economy in the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-02-07 Wan-Chien Chiua , Juan Ignacio Peña , Chih-Wei Wang

The CBOE Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure of the market's expected volatility on the SP 500 Index, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). It is also often referred to as…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-06-17 Ali Hirsa , Joerg Osterrieder , Branka Hadji Misheva , Wenxin Cao , Yiwen Fu , Hanze Sun , Kin Wai Wong

For centuries quality of life was a subject of studies across different disciplines. However, only with the emergence of a digital era, it became possible to investigate this topic on a larger scale. Over time it became clear that quality…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-07-14 Stanislav Sobolevsky , Emanuele Massaro , Iva Bojic , Juan Murillo Arias , Carlo Ratti