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Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Asymptotics of the variances of many cost measures in random digital search trees are often notoriously messy and involved to obtain. A new approach is proposed to facilitate such an analysis for several shape parameters on random symmetric…

组合数学 · 数学 2010-03-04 Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Michael Fuchs , Vytas Zacharovas

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

This paper presents a new approach to statistical similarity assessment based on sequence alignment. The algorithm performs mutual matching of two random sequences by successively searching for common elements and by applying sequence…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-09 Jakub Nikonowicz , Łukasz Matuszewski , Paweł Kubczak

Selecting the top-$m$ variables with the $m$ largest population parameters from a larger set of candidates is a fundamental problem in statistics. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology called Sequential Correct Screening (SCS),…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Masaki Toyoda , Yoshimasa Uematsu

Uncertainty sampling, a popular active learning algorithm, is used to reduce the amount of data required to learn a classifier, but it has been observed in practice to converge to different parameters depending on the initialization and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-06 Stephen Mussmann , Percy Liang

Quantifying the uncertainty of predictions is a core problem in modern statistics. Methods for predictive inference have been developed under a variety of assumptions, often -- for instance, in standard conformal prediction -- relying on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Edgar Dobriban , Mengxin Yu

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent…

When partitioning workflows in realistic scenarios, the knowledge of the processing units is often vague or unknown. A naive approach to addressing this issue is to perform many controlled experiments for different workloads, each…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2015-11-03 Freddy C. Chua , Bernardo A. Huberman

While variable selection is essential to optimize the learning complexity by prioritizing features, automating the selection process is preferred since it requires laborious efforts with intensive analysis otherwise. However, it is not an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-29 Makiya Nakashima , Alex Sim , Youngsoo Kim , Jonghyun Kim , Jinoh Kim

Standard practice in Hidden Markov Model (HMM) selection favors the candidate with the highest full-sequence likelihood, although this is equivalent to making a decision based on a single realization. We introduce a \emph{fragment-based}…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Carlos M. Hernandez-Suarez , Osval A. Montesinos-López

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm allows one to sample asymptotically from any probability distribution $\pi$. There has been recently much work devoted to the development of variants of the MH update which can handle scenarios where such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet , Sinan Yıldırım , Nicolas Chopin

We propose a new sampling algorithm combining two quite powerful ideas in the Markov chain Monte Carlo literature -- adaptive Metropolis sampler and two-stage Metropolis-Hastings sampler. The proposed sampling method will be particularly…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-01-05 Anirban Mondal , Kai Yin , Abhijit Mandal

This paper considers the problem of cardinality estimation in data stream applications. We present a statistical analysis of probabilistic counting algorithms, focusing on two techniques that use pseudo-random variates to form…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Peter Clifford , Ioana A. Cosma

The theory of two projections is utilized to study two-component Gibbs samplers. Through this theory, previously intractable problems regarding the asymptotic variances of two-component Gibbs samplers are reduced to elementary matrix…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-11 Qian Qin

We consider the problem of drawing samples from posterior distributions formed under a Dirichlet prior and a truncated multinomial likelihood, by which we mean a Multinomial likelihood function where we condition on one or more counts being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-04 Matthew James Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

This paper investigates adaptive importance sampling algorithms for which the policy, the sequence of distributions used to generate the particles, is a mixture distribution between a flexible kernel density estimate (based on the previous…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-23 Bernard Delyon , François Portier

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

In Part I (arXiv:1911.00619) of this article, we proposed an importance sampling algorithm to compute rare-event probabilities in forward uncertainty quantification problems. The algorithm, which we termed the "Bayesian Inverse Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-06 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

Consider a fixed universe of $N=2^n$ elements and the uniform distribution over elements of some subset of size $K$. Given samples from this distribution, the task of complement sampling is to provide a sample from the complementary subset.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-02-02 Marcello Benedetti , Harry Buhrman , Jordi Weggemans