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Joint state and parameter estimation is a core problem for dynamic Bayesian networks. Although modern probabilistic inference toolkits make it relatively easy to specify large and practically relevant probabilistic models, the silver…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-03-31 Yusuf Bugra Erol , Yi Wu , Lei Li , Stuart Russell

Mislabeled, duplicated, or biased data in real-world scenarios can lead to prolonged training and even hinder model convergence. Traditional solutions prioritizing easy or hard samples lack the flexibility to handle such a variety…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-08 Zhijie Deng , Peng Cui , Jun Zhu

We describe a new method for evaluating Bayes factors. The key idea is to introduce a hypermodel in which the competing models are components of a mixture distribution. Inference for the mixing probabilities then yields estimates of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-16 Philip D. O'Neill , Theodore Kypraios

Bayesian optimisation is a popular, surrogate model-based approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. Given a surrogate model, the next location to expensively evaluate is chosen via maximisation of a cheap-to-query acquisition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-31 George De Ath , Richard M. Everson , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Alma A. M. Rahat

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

A widely used method to create a continuous representation of a discrete data-set is regression analysis. When the regression model is not based on a mathematical description of the physics underlying the data, heuristic techniques play a…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-07-18 Giovanni Mana , Paolo Alberto Giuliano Albo , Simona Lago

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

To understand and predict the performance of scientific applications, several analytical and machine learning approaches have been proposed, each having its advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we propose and validate a hybrid…

性能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-27 Huda Ibeid , Siping Meng , Oliver Dobon , Luke Olson , William Gropp

In the post-Dennard era, optimizing embedded systems requires navigating complex trade-offs between energy efficiency and latency. Traditional heuristic tuning is often inefficient in such high-dimensional, non-smooth landscapes. In this…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Zheyuan Hu , Yifei Shi

One of the challenges in model-based control of stochastic dynamical systems is that the state transition dynamics are involved, and it is not easy or efficient to make good-quality predictions of the states. Moreover, there are not many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-02 Behnoosh Parsa , Keshav Rajasekaran , Franziska Meier , Ashis G. Banerjee

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is widely used to optimise stochastic black box functions. While most BO approaches focus on optimising conditional expectations, many applications require risk-averse strategies and alternative criteria…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-11 Victor Picheny , Henry Moss , Léonard Torossian , Nicolas Durrande

Optimization problems with uncertain black-box constraints, modeled by warped Gaussian processes, have recently been considered in the Bayesian optimization setting. This work introduces a new class of constraints in which the same…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-16 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Jonathan Dunlop , Ruth Misener

Bayesian Optimization is the state of the art technique for the optimization of black boxes, i.e., functions where we do not have access to their analytical expression nor its gradients, they are expensive to evaluate and its evaluation is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-01-13 Eduardo C. Garrido Merchán , Luis C. Jariego Pérez

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

A common approach to learn robotic skills is to imitate a demonstrated policy. Due to the compounding of small errors and perturbations, this approach may let the robot leave the states in which the demonstrations were provided. This…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-08-08 Emmanuel Pignat , Sylvain Calinon

One's ability to learn a generative model of the world without supervision depends on the extent to which one can construct abstract knowledge representations that generalize across experiences. To this end, capturing an accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Zahra Sheikhbahaee , Dongshu Luo , Blake VanBerlo , S. Alex Yun , Adam Safron , Jesse Hoey

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

A wide spectrum of design and decision problems, including parameter tuning, A/B testing and drug design, intrinsically are instances of black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful tool that models and optimizes such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Tianyi Bai , Yang Li , Yu Shen , Xinyi Zhang , Wentao Zhang , Bin Cui

Bayesian optimization is a popular method for solving the problem of global optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. It relies on a probabilistic surrogate model of the objective function, upon which an acquisition…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi , Minsu Cho