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The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is widely used in personalized medicine to inform therapeutic decisions. However, state-of-the-art methods for CATE estimation (so-called meta-learners) often perform poorly in the presence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Stefan Feuerriegel

In the November 2016 U.S. presidential election, many state level public opinion polls, particularly in the Upper Midwest, incorrectly predicted the winning candidate. One leading explanation for this polling miss is that the precipitous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-15 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Erin Hartman

While meta-analyzing retrospective cancer patient cohorts, an investigation of differences in the expressions of target oncogenes across cancer subtypes is of substantial interest because the results may uncover novel tumorigenesis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Subharup Guha , David C. Christiani , S. V. Subramanian , Yi Li

In biomedical and public health association studies, binary outcome variables may be subject to misclassification, resulting in substantial bias in effect estimates. The feasibility of addressing binary outcome misclassification in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Kimberly A. Hochstedler Webb , Martin T. Wells

Observational studies can play a useful role in assessing the comparative effectiveness of competing treatments. In a clinical trial the randomization of participants to treatment and control groups generally results in well-balanced groups…

When using machine learning for imbalanced binary classification problems, it is common to subsample the majority class to create a (more) balanced training dataset. This biases the model's predictions because the model learns from data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

Background Most methods of adjusting for multiplicity focus primarily on controlling type I errors and rarely consider type II errors. We propose a new method that considers controlling for false-positive findings while ensuring sufficient…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Jiale Li , Zimu Wei

In observational studies, weighting methods that directly optimize the balance between treatment and covariates have received much attention lately; however these have mainly focused on binary treatments. Inspired by domain adaptation, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-27 Guillaume Martinet

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Patrick van Hage , Saskia le Cessie , Marissa C. van Maaren , Hein Putter , Nan van Geloven

Identifying effects of actions (treatments) on outcome variables from observational data and causal assumptions is a fundamental problem in causal inference. This identification is made difficult by the presence of confounders which can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Ilya Shpitser , Tyler VanderWeele , James M. Robins

Publication bias is a major concern in conducting systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Various sensitivity analysis or bias-correction methods have been developed based on selection models and they have some advantages over the widely used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Ao Huang , Kosuke Morikawa , Tim Friede , Satoshi Hattori

Learning under one-sided feedback (i.e., where we only observe the labels for examples we predicted positively on) is a fundamental problem in machine learning -- applications include lending and recommendation systems. Despite this, there…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-14 Heinrich Jiang , Qijia Jiang , Aldo Pacchiano

Limited overlap between treated and control groups is a key challenge in observational analysis. Standard approaches like trimming importance weights can reduce variance but introduce a fundamental bias. We propose a sensitivity framework…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Yuanzhe Ma , Yian Huang , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper, we propose a model averaging approach for addressing model uncertainty in the context of partial linear functional additive models. These models are designed to describe the relation between a response and mixed-types of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-12 Shishi Liu , Jingxiao Zhang

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

Combining matching and regression for causal inference provides double-robustness in removing treatment effect estimation bias due to confounding variables. In most real-world applications, however, treatment and control populations are not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-14 Alireza S. Mahani , Mansour T. A. Sharabiani

We tackle the problem of computing counterfactual explanations -- minimal changes to the features that flip an undesirable model prediction. We propose a solution to this question for linear Support Vector Machine (SVMs) models. Moreover,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 Sebastian Salazar , Samuel Denton , Ansaf Salleb-Aouissi

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

The adaptive lasso refers to a class of methods that use weighted versions of the $L_1$-norm penalty, with weights derived from an initial estimate of the parameter vector to be estimated. Irrespective of the method chosen to compute this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-16 Ballout Nadim , Etievant Lola , Viallon Vivian