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Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) is now a popular method for performing Bayesian statistical inference on challenging state space models (SSMs) with unknown static parameters. It uses a particle filter (PF) at each iteration of an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-19 Christopher Drovandi , Richard G Everitt , Andrew Golightly , Dennis Prangle

We introduce a framework for developing efficient and interpretable climate emulators (CEs) for economic models of climate change. The paper makes two main contributions. First, we propose a general framework for constructing carbon-cycle…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Aryan Eftekhari , Doris Folini , Aleksandra Friedl , Felix Kübler , Simon Scheidegger , Olaf Schenk

Large computer models are ubiquitous in the earth sciences. These models often have tens or hundreds of tuneable parameters and can take thousands of core-hours to run to completion while generating terabytes of output. It is becoming…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris , Andrew Williams , Lucia Deaconu , Philip Stier

The chemistry of an astrophysical environment is closely coupled to its dynamics, the latter often found to be complex. Hence, to properly model these environments a 3D context is necessary. However, solving chemical kinetics within a 3D…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-05-07 S. Maes , F. De Ceuster , M. Van de Sande , L. Decin

Achieving backward compatibility when rolling out new models can highly reduce costs or even bypass feature re-encoding of existing gallery images for in-production visual retrieval systems. Previous related works usually leverage losses…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Qiang Meng , Chixiang Zhang , Xiaoqiang Xu , Feng Zhou

Smokescreen is an open-source Python library for data-vector concealment (blinding) in cosmological analyses. Data-vector blinding works by applying cosmology-dependent shifts to the observed data vector, moving it away from the true…

With the advent of the Large Array Telescope (LAT) on board the Fermi satellite, a new window on the Universe has been opened. Publicly available, the Fermi-LAT data come together with an analysis software named ScienceTools (ST,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-07-19 D. A. Sanchez , C. Deil

This paper introduces ENFrame, a unified data processing platform for querying and mining probabilistic data. Using ENFrame, users can write programs in a fragment of Python with constructs such as bounded-range loops, list comprehension,…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2013-09-03 Sebastiaan J. van Schaik , Dan Olteanu , Robert Fink

We describe OHBA Software Library for the analysis of electrophysiological data (osl-ephys). This toolbox builds on top of the widely used MNE-Python package and provides unique analysis tools for magneto-/electro-encephalography (M/EEG)…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-10-30 Mats W. J. van Es , Chetan Gohil , Andrew J. Quinn , Mark W. Woolrich

Since the middle of the 1940's scientists have used Monte Carlo (MC) simulations to obtain information about physical processes. This has proved a accurate and and reliable method to obtain this information. Through out resent years…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2012-07-02 Thomas Amby Ottosen

I present StarEstate, an open-source Python package for producing rapid, statistically robust galactic population synthesis models. By utilizing optimized pre-calculated inverse-cumulative distribution function samplers, the tool generates…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-11-27 Amedeo Romagnolo

Inference on time series data is a common requirement in many scientific disciplines and internet of things (IoT) applications, yet there are few resources available to domain scientists to easily, robustly, and repeatably build such…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2016-09-16 Brett Naul , Stéfan van der Walt , Arien Crellin-Quick , Joshua S. Bloom , Fernando Pérez

For any forecasting application, evaluation of forecasts is an important task. For example, in the field of renewable energy sources there is high variability and uncertainty of power production, which makes forecasting and the evaluation…

Multi-sample, importance-weighted variational autoencoders (IWAE) give tighter bounds and more accurate uncertainty estimates than variational autoencoders (VAE) trained with a standard single-sample objective. However, IWAEs scale poorly:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-18 Laurence Aitchison

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are an expressive means of representing and reasoning about probabilistic models. The computational challenge of probabilistic inference remains the primary roadblock for applying PPLs in practice.…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Steven Holtzen , Guy Van den Broeck , Todd Millstein

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

Existing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are either based on general-purpose and domain-agnostic schemes which can lead to slow convergence, or hand-crafting of problem-specific proposals by an expert. We propose A-NICE-MC, a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-16 Jiaming Song , Shengjia Zhao , Stefano Ermon

We present IMPACT, a flexible toolchain for nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) specification with automatic code generation capabilities. The toolchain reduces the engineering complexity of NMPC implementations by providing the user…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-04 Alvaro Florez , Alejandro Astudillo , Wilm Decré , Jan Swevers , Joris Gillis

Motivation: The Electron Microscopy Data Bank (EMDB) is a key repository for 3D electron microscopy (3DEM) data but lacks comprehensive annotations and connections to most of the related biological, functional, and structural data. This…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-22 Amudha K. Duraisamy , Neli Fonseca , Gerard J. Kleywegt , Ardan Patwardhan , Kyle L. Morris

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables parameter inference for complex physical systems in cases where the true likelihood function is unknown, unavailable, or computationally too expensive. It relies on the forward simulation of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-08-13 E. E. O. Ishida , S. D. P. Vitenti , M. Penna-Lima , J. Cisewski , R. S. de Souza , A. M. M. Trindade , E. Cameron , V. C. Busti