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Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

One central goal of design of observational studies is to embed non-experimental data into an approximate randomized controlled trial using statistical matching. Despite empirical researchers' best intention and effort to create…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Kan Chen , Siyu Heng , Qi Long , Bo Zhang

An inference procedure is proposed to provide consistent estimators of parameters in a modal regression model with a covariate prone to measurement error. A score-based diagnostic tool exploiting parametric bootstrap is developed to assess…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang

Regression models with a response variable taking values in a Hilbert space and hybrid covariates are considered. This means two sets of regressors are allowed, one of finite dimension and a second one functional with values in a Hilbert…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-25 Samuel Maistre , Valentin Patilea

Let X be a d dimensional vector of covariates and Y be the response variable. Under the nonparametric model Y = m(X) + {\sigma}(X) \in we develop an ANOVA-type test for the null hypothesis that a particular coordinate of X has no influence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-31 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Michael Akritas

How can we precisely estimate a large language model's (LLM) accuracy on questions belonging to a specific topic within a larger question-answering dataset? The standard direct estimator, which averages the model's accuracy on the questions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Nil-Jana Akpinar , Mathew Monfort

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$ based on an i.i.d.\ sample, when the accuracy of the estimator is measured by a general norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We construct an estimator (that depends on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Gábor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

This paper proposes a framework for evaluating the statistical precision of measurement methods from interlaboratory studies where the outcome is a dose-response relationship summarized by a regression line. For such measurement methods,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Jun-ichi Takeshita , Yuto Ikeuchi , Tomomichi Suzuki

Studies often estimate associations between an outcome and multiple variates. For example, studies of diagnostic test accuracy estimate sensitivity and specificity, and studies of predictive and prognostic factors typically estimate…

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-17 Roberto Fontana , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

We explore how violations of the often-overlooked standard assumption that the random effects model matrix in a linear mixed model is fixed (and thus independent of the random effects vector) can lead to bias in estimators of estimable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-23 Andrew T. Karl , Dale L. Zimmerman

Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

Small area models are mixed effects regression models that link the small areas and borrow strength from similar domains. When the auxiliary variables used in the models are measured with error, small area estimators that ignore the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-23 Serena Arima , Silvia Polettini

This thesis contains a series of independent contributions to statistics, unified by a model-free perspective. The first chapter elaborates on how a model-free perspective can be used to formulate flexible methods that leverage prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Alexander Mangulad Christgau

We consider the problem of sparsity testing in the high-dimensional linear regression model. The problem is to test whether the number of non-zero components (aka the sparsity) of the regression parameter $\theta^*$ is less than or equal to…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-24 Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

We take a different look at the problem of testing the independence of two metric-space-valued random variables using the distance correlation. Instead of testing if the distance correlation vanishes exactly, we are interested in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-19 Holger Dette , Marius Kroll