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Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. We first address the problem of detecting a single change…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

We develop a projected least squares estimator for the change point parameter in a high dimensional time series model with a potential change point. Importantly we work under the setup where the jump size may be near the boundary of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-19 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Stochastic minimax optimization on Riemannian manifolds has recently attracted significant attention due to its broad range of applications, such as robust training of neural networks and robust maximum likelihood estimation. Existing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-11 Hongye Wang , Chang He , Bo Jiang

Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau

Classical moment based change point tests like the cusum test are very powerful in case of Gaussian time series with one change point but behave poorly under heavy tailed distributions and corrupted data. A new class of robust change point…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-16 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

A new Bayesian modelling framework is introduced for piece-wise homogeneous variable-memory Markov chains, along with a collection of effective algorithmic tools for change-point detection and segmentation of discrete time series. Building…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

A new approach to detect change points based on differential smoothing and multiple testing is presented for long data sequences modeled as piecewise constant functions plus stationary ergodic Gaussian noise. As an application of the STEM…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-20 Dan Cheng , Zhibing He , Armin Schwartzman

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-11-22 Joel Veness , Martha White , Michael Bowling , András György

Regionalization aims to partition a spatial domain into contiguous regions that share similar characteristics, enabling more effective spatial analysis, policy making, and resource management. Existing approaches for spatial regionalization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Jiayu Weng , Alec Kirkley

In this paper, we propose a new generic method for detecting the number and locations of structural breaks or change points in piecewise linear models under stationary Gaussian noise. Our method transforms the change point detection problem…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Zhibing He , Dan Cheng , Yunpeng Zhao

This paper targets the task of language-based video moment localization. The language-based setting of this task allows for an open set of target activities, resulting in a large variation of the temporal lengths of video moments. Most…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-04 Qi Zheng , Jianfeng Dong , Xiaoye Qu , Xun Yang , Yabing Wang , Pan Zhou , Baolong Liu , Xun Wang

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in change point regressions, where the signal can be piecewise polynomial of arbitrary but fixed degree. That is we seek disjoint intervals which, uniformly at a given confidence level,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-12 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

We extend the knockoffs method for selecting predictors to clustered data (cross-sectional or repeated measures). In the setting of clustered data, variable selection is complex because some predictors are measured at the observation level…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Silvia Bacci , Leonardo Grilli , Carla Rampichini

This paper proposes a novel approach to adaptive step sizes in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) by utilizing quantities that we have identified as numerically traceable -- the Lipschitz constant for gradients and a concept of the local…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-19 Frederik Köhne , Leonie Kreis , Anton Schiela , Roland Herzog

Variance partitioning methods, which are built upon multivariate statistics, have been widely applied in different taxa and habitats in community ecology. Here, I performed a literature review on the development and application of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-03-31 Youhua Chen

We consider monotonic, multiple regression for a set of contiguous regions (lattice data). The regression functions permissibly vary between regions and exhibit geographical structure. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric methodology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Christian Rohrbeck , Deborah Costain , Arnoldo Frigessi

In modeling multivariate time series, it is important to allow time-varying smoothness in the mean and covariance process. In particular, there may be certain time intervals exhibiting rapid changes and others in which changes are slow. If…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-06-02 Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa , David B. Dunson

Multiple time scale stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in science and engineering, and the reduction of such systems and their models to only their slow components is often essential for scientific computation and further analysis.…