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Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Randomized controlled trials are considered the gold standard to evaluate the treatment effect (estimand) for efficacy and safety. According to the recent International Council on Harmonisation (ICH)-E9 addendum (R1), intercurrent events…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Junxiang Luo , Stephen J. Ruberg , Yongming Qu

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

Under what circumstances is it a threat to the parallel trends assumption required for Difference in Differences (DiD) studies if treatment decisions are based on past values of the outcome? We explore via simulation studies whether…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-02 Zach Shahn

Since the initial work by Ashenfelter and Card in 1985, the use of difference-in-differences (DID) study design has become widespread. However, as pointed out in the literature, this popular quasi-experimental design also suffers estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Xiaoming Wang , Sukun Wang

Contrasting marginal counterfactual survival curves across treatment arms is an effective and popular approach for inferring the causal effect of an intervention on a right-censored time-to-event outcome. A key challenge to drawing such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Andrew Ying , Yifan Cui , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Consider a general setting in which data on an outcome is collected in two `groups' at two time periods, with certain group-periods deemed `treated' and others `untreated'. A special case is the canonical Difference-in-Differences (DiD)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Zach Shahn , Laura Hatfield

When estimating treatment effects with two-way fixed effects (2WFE) models, researchers often use matching as a pre-processing step when the parallel trends assumption is thought to hold conditionally on covariates. Specifically, in a first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-17 Yihong Liu , Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

In paired randomized experiments individuals in a given matched pair may differ on prognostically important covariates despite the best efforts of practitioners. We examine the use of regression adjustment as a way to correct for persistent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-27 Colin B. Fogarty

Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Wei Li , Jiapeng Liu , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Patrick van Hage , Saskia le Cessie , Marissa C. van Maaren , Hein Putter , Nan van Geloven

Modern randomization methods in clinical trials are invariably adaptive, meaning that the assignment of the next subject to a treatment group uses the accumulated information in the trial. Some of the recent adaptive randomization methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-12 Alan R. Vazquez , Weng Kee Wong

In observational studies designed to estimate the effects of interventions or exposures, such as cigarette smoking, it is desirable to try to control background differences between the treated group (e.g., current smokers) and the control…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Donald B. Rubin , Elizabeth A. Stuart

When it comes to clinical survival trials, regulatory restrictions usually require the application of methods that solely utilize baseline covariates and the intention-to-treat principle. Thereby a lot of potentially useful information is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-27 Susanne Strohmaier , Kjetil Røysland , Rune Hoff , Ørnulf Borgan , Terje Pedersen , Odd O. Aalen

Regression calibration as developed by Rosner, Spiegelman and Willet is used to correct the bias in effect estimates due to measurement error in continuous exposures. The method involves two models: a measurement error model (MEM) relating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Wenze Tang , Donna Spiegelman , Xiaomei Liao , Molin Wang

Biometric recognition is used across a variety of applications from cyber security to border security. Recent research has focused on ensuring biometric performance (false negatives and false positives) is fair across demographic groups.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-24 Michael Schuckers , Sandip Purnapatra , Kaniz Fatima , Daqing Hou , Stephanie Schuckers

Mediation analysis is appealing for its ability to improve understanding of the mechanistic drivers of causal effects, but real-world data complexities challenge its successful implementation, including: 1) the existence of post-exposure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-19 Kara E Rudolph , Nicholas Williams , Ivan Diaz

In conventional randomized controlled trials, adjustment for baseline values of covariates known to be at least moderately associated with the outcome increases the power of the trial. Recent work has shown particular benefit for more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…