相关论文: Generalizations of forest fires with ignition at o…

We consider a generalization of the forest fire model on $\mathbb{Z}_+$ with ignition at zero only, studied in [arXiv:0907.1821]. Unlike that model, we allow delays in the spread of the fires as well as the non-zero burning time of…

We consider the so-called one-dimensional forest fire process. At each site of $\mathbb{Z}$, a tree appears at rate $1$. At each site of $\mathbb{Z}$, a fire starts at rate ${\lambda}>0$, immediately destroying the whole corresponding…

We study the long-time dynamics of a forest-fire model with deterministic tree growth and instantaneous burning of entire forests by stochastic lightning strikes. Asymptotically the system organizes into a coarsening self-similar mosaic of…

Consider the following forest fire model where the possible locations of trees are the sites of $\mathbb{Z}$. Each site has three possible states: 'vacant', 'occupied' or 'burning'. Vacant sites become occupied at rate $1$. At each site,…

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

A geometric model for the computation of the firefront of a forest wildfire which takes into account several effects (possibly time-dependent wind, anisotropies and slope of the ground) is introduced. It relies on a general theoretical…

The forest fire model is a reaction-diffusion model where energy, in the form of trees, is injected uniformly, and burned (dissipated) locally. We show that the spatial distribution of fires forms a novel geometric structure where the…

The current WRF-Fire model starts the fire from a given ignition point at a given time. We want to start the model from a given fire perimeter at a given time instead. However, the fuel balance and the state of the atmosphere depend on the…

We study forest fire processes in two dimensions. On a given planar lattice, vertices independently switch from vacant to occupied at rate $1$ (initially they are all vacant), and any connected component "is burnt" (its vertices become…

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

We consider the one-dimensional generalized forest fire process: at each site of $\zz$, seeds and matches fall according some i.i.d. stationary renewal processes. When a seed falls on an empty site, a tree grows immediately. When a match…

We present a general stochastic forest-fire model which shows a variety of different structures depending on the parameter values. The model contains three possible states per site (tree, burning tree, empty site) and three parameters (tree…

Dynamic mean field theory is applied to the problem of forest fires. The starting point is the Monte Carlo simulation in a lattice of million cells. The statistics of the clusters is obtained by means of the Hoshen--Kopelman algorithm. We…

Forest fire prediction involves estimating the likelihood of fire ignition or related risk levels in a specific area over a defined time period. With climate change intensifying fire behavior and frequency, accurate prediction has become…

We reconsider a model introduced by Bak, Chen, and Tang (Phys. Rev. A 38, 364 (1988)) as a supposedly self-organized critical model for forest fires. We verify again that the model is not critical in 2 dimensions, as found also by previous…

Depending on the rule for tree growth, the forest-fire model shows either self-organized criticality with rule-dependent exponents, or synchronization, or an intermediate behavior. This is shown analytically for the one-dimensional system,…

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

We modify the rules of the self-organized critical forest-fire model in one dimension by allowing the fire to jump over holes of $\le k$ sites. An analytic calculation shows that not only the size distribution of forest clusters but also…

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…