相关论文: A hypothesis-testing perspective on the G-normal d…
Under the sublinear expectation $\mathbb{E}[\cdot]:=\sup_{\theta\in \Theta} E_\theta[\cdot]$ for a given set of linear expectations $\{E_\theta: \theta\in \Theta\}$, we establish a new law of large numbers and a new central limit theorem…
We describe a new framework of a sublinear expectation space and the related notions and results of distributions, independence. A new notion of G-distributions is introduced which generalizes our G-normal-distribution in the sense that…
This paper introduces a new distribution to improve tail risk modeling. Based on the classical normal distribution, we define a new distribution by a series of heat equations. Then, we use market data to verify our model.
Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…
A $G$-normal random variable $X\sim \mathcal{N}(0,[\underline{\sigma}^2,\overline{\sigma}^2])$ does not admit a unique probability law due to volatility uncertainty. For a given test function $\phi$, the $G$-expectation admits the…
Peng (2006) initiated a new kind of central limit theorem under sub-linear expectations. Song (2017) gave an estimate of the rate of convergence of Peng's central limit theorem. Based on these results, we establish a new kind of almost sure…
The law of large numbers (LLN) and central limit theorem (CLT) are long and widely been known as two fundamental results in probability theory. Recently problems of model uncertainties in statistics, measures of risk and superhedging in…
The central limit theorem introduced by Stute [The central limit theorem under random censorship. Ann. Statist. 1995; 23: 422-439] does not hold for some class of heavy-tailed distributions. In this paper, we make use of the extreme value…
The $G$-expectation framework is a generalization of the classical probabilistic system motivated by Knightian uncertainty, where the $G$-normal plays a central role. However, from a statistical perspective, $G$-normal distributions look…
It has been a well-known problem in the $G$-framework that it is hard to compute the sublinear expectation of the $G$-normal distribution $\hat{\mathbb{E}}[\varphi(X)]$ when $\varphi$ is neither convex nor concave, if not involving any PDE…
In this work, we introduce statistical testing under distributional shifts. We are interested in the hypothesis $P^* \in H_0$ for a target distribution $P^*$, but observe data from a different distribution $Q^*$. We assume that $P^*$ is…
A generalization of stable and casual stable probability distribution is proposed. The notion of $\go G$-casual stability can be used to introduce discrete analogues of stable distributions on the sent $\mathbb Z$ of integers. In contrary…
Random geometric graphs are widely used in modeling geometry and dependence structure in networks. In a random geometric graph, nodes are independently generated from some probability distribution $F$ over a metric space, and edges link…
A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…
The central limit theorem provides the theoretical foundation for the universality of the normal distribution: under broad conditions, the asymptotic distribution of a sum of independent random variables approaches a Gaussian. Yet, physical…
The log-normal distribution is used to describe the positive data, that it has skewed distribution with small mean and large variance. This distribution has application in many sciences for example medicine, economics, biology and…
The sub-linear expectation or called G-expectation is a nonlinear expectation having advantage of modeling non-additive probability problems and the volatility uncertainty in finance. Let $\{X_n;n\ge 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random…
We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…
The central limit theorem ensures that a sum of random variables tends to a Gaussian distribution as their total number tends to infinity. However, for a class of positive random variables, we find that the sum tends faster to a log-normal…
Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…