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Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-06 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

In this paper, we study the problem of sampling from a given probability density function that is known to be smooth and strongly log-concave. We analyze several methods of approximate sampling based on discretizations of the (highly…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Avetik G. Karagulyan

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is supported by efficient sampling algorithms, a rich methodological literature, and strong theoretical grounding. However, due to their prohibitive computation and storage demands, the use of exact GPs…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-27 Kelly R. Moran , Matthew W. Wheeler

This paper presents a new multi-query motion planning algorithm for linear Gaussian systems with the goal of reaching a Euclidean ball with high probability. We develop a new formulation for ball-shaped ambiguity sets of Gaussian…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-07 Alex Rose , Naman Aggarwal , Christopher Jewison , Jonathan P. How

Logistic Gaussian process (LGP) priors provide a flexible alternative for modelling unknown densities. The smoothness properties of the density estimates can be controlled through the prior covariance structure of the LGP, but the challenge…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-01 Jaakko Riihimäki , Aki Vehtari

Background: Continuous traits evolution of a group of taxa that are correlated through a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled using parametric stochastic differential equations to represent deterministic change of trait through time,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-03 Bayu Brahmantio , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Etka Yapar

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is a popular method for performing approximate Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is intractable. In synthetic likelihood methods, the likelihood function is approximated parametrically via…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Jacob W. Priddle , Christopher Drovandi

We propose a fast and theoretically grounded method for Bayesian variable selection and model averaging in latent variable regression models. Our framework addresses three interrelated challenges: (i) intractable marginal likelihoods, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Gregor Zens , Mark F. J. Steel

The Bayesian smoothing equations are generally intractable for systems described by nonlinear stochastic differential equations and discrete-time measurements. Gaussian approximations are a computationally efficient way to approximate the…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-04-05 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Simo Särkkä , Robert Piché

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

Numerical simulations are crucial for modeling complex systems, but calibrating them becomes challenging when data are noisy or incomplete and likelihood evaluations are computationally expensive. Bayesian calibration offers an interesting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Guillaume Perrin , Romain Jorge Do Marco , Christian Soize , Christine Funfschilling

The growing prevalence of nonsmooth optimization problems in machine learning has spurred significant interest in generalized smoothness assumptions. Among these, the (L0, L1)-smoothness assumption has emerged as one of the most prominent.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-24 Zhirayr Tovmasyan , Grigory Malinovsky , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik

Motivated by parametric models for which the likelihood is analytically unavailable, numerically unstable, or prohibitively expensive to compute or optimize, we develop a prior- and likelihood-free framework for fully probabilistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Leonardo Cella , Emily C. Hector

With the growing availability of large-scale biomedical data, it is often time-consuming or infeasible to directly perform traditional statistical analysis with relatively limited computing resources at hand. We propose a fast subsampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-18 Haixiang Zhang , Lulu Zuo , HaiYing Wang , Liuquan Sun

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Likelihood-free methods are an established approach for performing approximate Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. However, they can be computationally demanding. Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-04 Jacob W. Priddle , Scott A. Sisson , David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli

Inferring the posterior distribution in SLAM is critical for evaluating the uncertainty in localization and mapping, as well as supporting subsequent planning tasks aiming to reduce uncertainty for safe navigation. However, real-time full…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-11 Qiangqiang Huang , John J. Leonard

The computational cost for inference and prediction of statistical models based on Gaussian processes with Mat\'ern covariance functions scales cubicly with the number of observations, limiting their applicability to large data sets. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-04 David Bolin , Vaibhav Mehandiratta , Alexandre B. Simas