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Scientific experimentation is largely driven by statistical hypothesis testing to determine significant differences in interventions. Traditionally, experimenters allocate samples uniformly between each intervention. However, such an…

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

We propose a variance-penalized formulation of Bayesian optimal experimental design for nonlinear models that augments the classical expected utility criterion with a penalty on utility variability, yielding a mean--variance objective that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

Experimental (design) optimization is a key driver in designing and discovering new products and processes. Bayesian Optimization (BO) is an effective tool for optimizing expensive and black-box experimental design processes. While Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 Arun Kumar A , Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Stewart Greenhill , Svetha Venkatesh

High-throughput gene perturbation experiments can test several genetic interventions in parallel, yet experimental budgets remain limited. A central goal is hit discovery: identifying as many perturbations as possible whose phenotypic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Andrea Rubbi , Arpit Merchant , Samuel Ogden , Amir Akbarnejad , Pietro Liò , Sattar Vakili , Mo Lotfollahi

We introduce a fully stochastic gradient based approach to Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED). Our approach utilizes variational lower bounds on the expected information gain (EIG) of an experiment that can be simultaneously…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-28 Adam Foster , Martin Jankowiak , Matthew O'Meara , Yee Whye Teh , Tom Rainforth

Asynchronous Bayesian optimization is a recently implemented technique that allows for parallel operation of experimental systems and disjointed workflows. Contrasting with serial Bayesian optimization which individually selects experiments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Amanda A. Volk , Kristofer G. Reyes , Jeffrey G. Ethier , Luke A. Baldwin

Experimental design is central to science and engineering. A ubiquitous challenge is how to maximize the value of information obtained from expensive or constrained experimental settings. Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) provides…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-13 Sofia Mäkinen , Andrew B. Duncan , Tapio Helin

The design of multiple experiments is commonly undertaken via suboptimal strategies, such as batch (open-loop) design that omits feedback or greedy (myopic) design that does not account for future effects. This paper introduces new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-29 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

The design of an experiment can be always be considered at least implicitly Bayesian, with prior knowledge used informally to aid decisions such as the variables to be studied and the choice of a plausible relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-03 David C. Woods , Antony M. Overstall , Maria Adamou , Timothy W. Waite

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

Complex system design problems, such as those involved in aerospace engineering, require the use of numerically costly simulation codes in order to predict the performance of the system to be designed. In this context, these codes are often…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-14 Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent

In statistical modeling of computer experiments sometimes prior information is available about the underlying function. For example, the physical system simulated by the computer code may be known to be monotone with respect to some or all…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-17 Shirin Golchi , Derek R. Bingham , Hugh Chipman , David A. Campbell

We consider the problem of sequentially maximising an unknown function over a set of actions while ensuring that every sampled point has a function value below a given safety threshold. We model the function using kernel-based and Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Arpan Losalka , Jonathan Scarlett

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to conduct the most informative experiment under budget constraints to update the prior knowledge of a system to its posterior from the experimental data in a Bayesian framework. Such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann , Peng Chen

Achieving covariate balance in randomized experiments enhances the precision of treatment effect estimation. However, existing methods often require heuristic adjustments based on domain knowledge and are primarily developed for binary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Wenxuan Guo , Tengyuan Liang , Panos Toulis

Using Bayesian experimental design techniques, we have shown that for a single two-level quantum mechanical system under strong (projective) measurement, the dynamical parameters of a model Hamiltonian can be estimated with exponentially…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-06-05 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade , D. G. Cory