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Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf

Long-term load forecast (LTLF) for area distribution feeders is one of the most critical tasks frequently performed in electric distribution utility companies. For a specific planning area, cost-effective system upgrades can only be planned…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , Jian Shi , QingXin Shi

In the context of increasing demands for long-term multi-energy load forecasting in real-world applications, this paper introduces Patchformer, a novel model that integrates patch embedding with encoder-decoder Transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Qiuyi Hong , Fanlin Meng , Felipe Maldonado

In this paper, we propose a new short-term load forecasting (STLF) model based on contextually enhanced hybrid and hierarchical architecture combining exponential smoothing (ES) and a recurrent neural network (RNN). The model is composed of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Charging demands of electric vehicles (EVs) are sharply increasing due to the rapid development of EVs. Hence, reliable and convenient quick charge stations are required to respond to the needs of EV drivers. Due to the uncertainty of EV…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-09-04 Zeyu Liu , Yaxin Xie , Donghan Feng , Yun Zhou , Shanshan Shi , Chen Fang

Recent endeavors aimed at forecasting future traffic flow states through deep learning encounter various challenges and yield diverse outcomes. A notable obstacle arises from the substantial data requirements of deep learning models, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Zhaohui Yang , Kshitij Jerath

Electrical load prediction has become an integral part of power system operation. Deep learning models have found popularity for this purpose. However, to achieve a desired prediction accuracy, they require huge amounts of data for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-16 Nastaran Gholizadeh , Petr Musilek

The smart metering infrastructure has changed how electricity is measured in both residential and industrial application. The large amount of data collected by smart meter per day provides a huge potential for analytics to support the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-31 Nameer Al Khafaf , Mahdi Jalili , Peter Sokolowski

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Power load forecast with Machine Learning is a fairly mature application of artificial intelligence and it is indispensable in operation, control and planning. Data selection techniqies have been hardly used in this application. However,…

With the booming growth of advanced digital technologies, it has become possible for users as well as distributors of energy to obtain detailed and timely information about the electricity consumption of households. These technologies can…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-16 Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam , Daniel Bonilla Licea , Mounir Ghogho , Abdellatif Kobbane

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

Accurate load forecasting is critical for electricity market operations and other real-time decision-making tasks in power systems. This paper considers the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem for residential customers within a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Yuqi Zhou , Arun Sukumaran Nair , David Ganger , Abhinandan Tripathi , Chaitanya Baone , Hao Zhu

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Energy system models require a large amount of technical and economic data, the quality of which significantly influences the reliability of the results. Some of the variables on the important data source ENTSO-E transparency platform, such…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-23 Thomas Möbius , Mira Watermeyer , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

Spatiotemporal data is very common in many applications, such as manufacturing systems and transportation systems. It is typically difficult to be accurately predicted given intrinsic complex spatial and temporal correlations. Most of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Ziyue Li , Hao Yan , Chen Zhang , Fugee Tsung

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz