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We are interested in a fragmentation process. We observe fragments frozen when their sizes are less than $\epsilon$ ($\epsilon$ > 0). Is is known ([BM05]) that the empirical measure of these fragments converges in law, under some…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-30 Sylvain Rubenthaler

This paper develops new limit theory for data that are generated by networks or more generally display cross-sectional dependence structures that are governed by observable and unobservable characteristics. Strategic network formation…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-08 Guido M. Kuersteiner

Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…

We consider a sequence of Hawkes processes whose excitation measures may depend on the generation, and study its scaling limits in the near-unstable limiting regime. The limiting random measures, characterized via a nonlinear convolutional…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Tristan Pace , Gordan Zitkovic

We consider the adjacency matrix $A$ of a large random graph and study fluctuations of the function $f_n(z,u)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^n\exp\{-uG_{kk}(z)\}$ with $G(z)=(z-iA)^{-1}$. We prove that the moments of fluctuations normalized by…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-14 M. Shcherbina , B. Tirozzi

We present a unified approach to a couple of central limit theorems for radial random walks on hyperbolic spaces and time-homogeneous Markov chains on the positive half line whose transition probabilities are defined in terms of the Jacobi…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-18 Michael Voit

We describe some recent approaches to likelihood based inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. Our approach is based on plotting the likelihood function and the $p$-value function, using recently developed third order…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 N. Reid , D. A. S. Fraser

We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, non-binary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-05 Alexander V. Bulinski , Alexander S. Rakitko

We study the number of occurrences of any fixed vincular permutation pattern. We show that this statistics on uniform random permutations is asymptotically normal and describe the speed of convergence. To prove this central limit theorem,…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-06-22 Lisa Hofer

In this article we focus on a general model of random walk on random marked trees. We prove a recurrence criterion, analogue to the recurrence criterion proved by R. Lyons and Robin Pemantle (1992) in a slightly different model. In the…

概率论 · 数学 2011-09-02 Gabriel Faraud

We study the problem of parameter estimation for large exchangeable interacting particle systems when a sample of discrete observations from a single particle is known. We propose a novel method based on martingale estimating functions…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

We propose a novel probabilistic framework to model continuous-time interaction events data. Our goal is to infer the \emph{implicit} community structure underlying the temporal interactions among entities, and also to exploit how the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-24 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper we establish spatial central limit theorems for a large class of supercritical branching Markov processes with general spatial-dependent branching mechanisms. These are generalizations of the spatial central limit theorems…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-06 Y. -X. Ren , R. Song , R. Zhang

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

We seek to conduct statistical inference for a large collection of primary parameters, each with its own nuisance parameters. Our approach is partially Bayesian, in that we treat the primary parameters as fixed while we model the nuisance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Li Ma

Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-16 Xu Wang , Mladen Kolar , Ali Shojaie

This paper is concerned with cross-sectional dependence arising because observations are interconnected through an observed network. Following Doukhan and Louhichi (1999), we measure the strength of dependence by covariances of nonlinearly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-10 Denis Kojevnikov , Vadim Marmer , Kyungchul Song

Multivariate Bessel processes $(X_{t,k})_{t\ge0}$ describe interacting particle systems of Calogero-Moser-Sutherland type and are related with $\beta$-Hermite and $\beta$-Laguerre ensembles. They depend on a root system and a multiplicity…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-30 Michael Voit , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

In this paper we prove a central limit theorem for some probability measures defined as asymtotic densities of integer sets defined via sum-of-digit-function. To any integer a we can associate a measure on Z called $\mu$a such that, for any…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-22 Jordan Emme , Pascal Hubert