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Effective forces -- derived from experimental or {\it in silico} molecular dynamics time traces -- are critical in developing reduced and computationally efficient descriptions of otherwise complex dynamical problems. Thus, designing…

生物物理 · 物理学 2019-08-29 J Shepard Bryan , Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Pressé

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

This paper presents a Gaussian Process (GP) framework, a non-parametric technique widely acknowledged for regression and classification tasks, to address inverse problems in mean field games (MFGs). By leveraging GPs, we aim to recover…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-27 Jinyan Guo , Chenchen Mou , Xianjin Yang , Chao Zhou

While Gaussian processes (GPs) are the method of choice for regression tasks, they also come with practical difficulties, as inference cost scales cubic in time and quadratic in memory. In this paper, we introduce a natural and expressive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Carl E. Rasmussen , Franz Pernkopf

Gaussian processes (GP) are Bayesian non-parametric models that are widely used for probabilistic regression. Unfortunately, it cannot scale well with large data nor perform real-time predictions due to its cubic time cost in the data size.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-12 Jie Chen , Nannan Cao , Kian Hsiang Low , Ruofei Ouyang , Colin Keng-Yan Tan , Patrick Jaillet

Gaussian processes (GP) are Bayesian non-parametric models that are widely used for probabilistic regression. Unfortunately, it cannot scale well with large data nor perform real-time predictions due to its cubic time cost in the data size.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-05-27 Jie Chen , Nannan Cao , Kian Hsiang Low , Ruofei Ouyang , Colin Keng-Yan Tan , Patrick Jaillet

Inspired by recent advances in the field of expert-based approximations of Gaussian processes (GPs), we present an expert-based approach to large-scale multi-output regression using single-output GP experts. Employing a deeply structured…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Zhongjie Yu , Mingye Zhu , Martin Trapp , Arseny Skryagin , Kristian Kersting

We develop a personalized real time risk scoring algorithm that provides timely and granular assessments for the clinical acuity of ward patients based on their (temporal) lab tests and vital signs. Heterogeneity of the patients population…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-04 Ahmed M. Alaa , Jinsung Yoon , Scott Hu , Mihaela van der Schaar

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as distributions of random effects in linear mixed models, which are fit using the restricted likelihood or the closely-related Bayesian analysis. This article addresses two problems. First, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-04 Maitreyee Bose , James S. Hodges , Sudipto Banerjee

We consider the analysis of continuous repeated measurement outcomes that are collected through time, also known as longitudinal data. A standard framework for analysing data of this kind is a linear Gaussian mixed-effects model within…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Özgür Asar , David Bolin , Peter J. Diggle , Jonas Wallin

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper presents an approach for constrained Gaussian Process (GP) regression where we assume that a set of linear transformations of the process are bounded. It is motivated by machine learning applications for high-consequence…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Christian Agrell

Multi-output Gaussian process (MOGP) regression allows modelling dependencies among multiple correlated response variables. Similarly to standard Gaussian processes, MOGPs are sensitive to model misspecification and outliers, which can…

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

Latent force models, a class of hybrid modeling approaches, integrate physical knowledge of system dynamics with a latent force - an unknown, unmeasurable input modeled as a Gaussian process. In this work, we introduce two optimal state…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-24 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller , Thomas Beckers

Gaussian Processes (\textbf{GPs}) are flexible non-parametric models with strong probabilistic interpretation. While being a standard choice for performing inference on time series, GPs have few techniques to work in a streaming setting.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-22 Théo Galy-Fajou , Manfred Opper

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects across individuals has attracted growing attention as a statistical tool for performing critical decision-making. We propose a Bayesian inference framework that quantifies the uncertainty in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Shunsuke Horii , Yoichi Chikahara

Recent advances in sensing and imaging technologies have enabled the collection of high-dimensional spatiotemporal data across complex geometric domains. However, effective modeling of such data remains challenging due to irregular spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-16 Xizhuo Zhang , Bing Yao

Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer an attractive method for regression over small, structured and correlated datasets. However, their deployment is hindered by computational costs and limited guidelines on how to apply GPs beyond simple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Kenza Tazi , Jihao Andreas Lin , Ross Viljoen , Alex Gardner , ST John , Hong Ge , Richard E. Turner