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A simple and widely adopted approach to extend Gaussian processes (GPs) to multiple outputs is to model each output as a linear combination of a collection of shared, unobserved latent GPs. An issue with this approach is choosing the number…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-18 Pavel Berkovich , Eric Perim , Wessel Bruinsma

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

This paper focuses on drawing inference on the causal impact of an intervention at a specific time point, as manifested in an outcome variable over time. We operate on the interrupted time series framework and expand on approaches such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-07 Gianluca Giudice , Sara Geneletti , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

One of the key challenges in revenue management is unconstraining demand data. Existing state of the art single-class unconstraining methods make restrictive assumptions about the form of the underlying demand and can perform poorly when…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-30 Ilan Price , Jaroslav Fowkes , Daniel Hopman

Mixtures of experts probabilistically divide the input space into regions, where the assumptions of each expert, or conditional model, need only hold locally. Combined with Gaussian process (GP) experts, this results in a powerful and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-31 Charles W. L. Gadd , Sara Wade , Alexis Boukouvalas

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We consider a randomized controlled trial between two groups. The objective is to identify a population with characteristics such that the test therapy is more effective than the control therapy. Such a population is called a subgroup. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Shintaro Yuki , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa

The Gaussian Process (GP) assumption is often used in functional data analysis. We propose a method to assess departures from the GP assumption, both in terms of the shape of the distribution and its potential dependence on covariates,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Mingyuan Li , Martin A. Lindquist , Edward Gunning , Ciprian Crainiceanu

In many areas of the observational and experimental sciences data is scarce. Data observation in high-energy astrophysics is disrupted by celestial occlusions and limited telescope time while data derived from laboratory experiments in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Ryan-Rhys Griffiths

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful framework for extrapolation, interpolation, and noise removal in regression and classification. This paper considers constraining GPs to arbitrarily-shaped domains with boundary conditions. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Arno Solin , Manon Kok

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is an efficient approach for the control of nonlinear multivariable dynamic systems with constraints, which however requires an accurate plant model. Plant models can often be determined from first…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-17 E. Bradford , L. Imsland , M. Reble , E. A. del Rio-Chanona

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

Accurately predicting the future capacity and remaining useful life of batteries is necessary to ensure reliable system operation and to minimise maintenance costs. The complex nature of battery degradation has meant that mechanistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-06-01 Robert R. Richardson , Michael A. Osborne , David A. Howey

Often in machine learning, data are collected as a combination of multiple conditions, e.g., the voice recordings of multiple persons, each labeled with an ID. How could we build a model that captures the latent information related to these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Zhenwen Dai , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

We propose multivariate nonstationary Gaussian processes for jointly modeling multiple clinical variables, where the key parameters, length-scales, standard deviations and the correlations between the observed output, are all time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Rui Meng , Braden Soper , Herbert Lee , Vincent X. Liu , John D. Greene , Priyadip Ray

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Mickaël Binois , Chiwoo Park , Robert B. Gramacy

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch