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Learning-based approaches to verifying unknown Markov decision processes (MDPs) often employ uncertain MDPs. These models use, for example, confidence intervals to capture transition uncertainty and allow synthesis of policies that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker

With the growing amount of cyber threats, the need for development of high-assurance cyber systems is becoming increasingly important. The objective of this paper is to address the challenges of modeling and detecting sophisticated network…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Tawfeeq Shawly , Ali Elghariani , Jason Kobes , Arif Ghafoor

Markov state models (MSMs) have been demonstrated to be a powerful method for computationally studying intramolecular processes such as protein folding and macromolecular conformational changes. In this article, we present a new approach to…

生物物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Matthew R. Perkett , Michael F. Hagan

The impact of randomness on model training is poorly understood. How do differences in data order and initialization actually manifest in the model, such that some training runs outperform others or converge faster? Furthermore, how can we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Michael Y. Hu , Angelica Chen , Naomi Saphra , Kyunghyun Cho

Factorial Hidden Markov Models (FHMMs) are powerful models for sequential data but they do not scale well with long sequences. We propose a scalable inference and learning algorithm for FHMMs that draws on ideas from the stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Yin Cheng Ng , Pawel Chilinski , Ricardo Silva

Probabilistic shaping (PS) has attracted significant attention in intensity-modulation and direct-detection (IM-DD) systems. However, due to the unique system model and inherent constraints, the effective application of the PS technique is…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-25 Dongdong Zou , Wei Wang , Jiawen Yao , Zhongxing Tian , Zeyu Feng , Huan Huang , Fan Li , Gordon Ning Liu , Gangxiang Shen , Yi Cai

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-04 Matteo Barigozzi , Daniele Massacci

In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

This paper presents a new and flexible prognostics framework based on a higher order hidden semi-Markov model (HOHSMM) for systems or components with unobservable health states and complex transition dynamics. The HOHSMM extends the basic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-14 Ying Liao , Yisha Xiang , Min Wang

Channel state information (CSI) acquisition is a challenging problem in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) networks. Radio maps provide a promising solution for radio resource management by reducing online CSI acquisition.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Zheng Xing , Junting Chen

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are fundamental for modeling sequential data, yet learning their parameters from observations remains challenging. Classical methods like the Baum-Welch algorithm are computationally intensive and prone to local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Reginald Zhiyan Chen , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Phasor measurement units (PMUs) have the advantage of providing direct measurements of power states. However, as the number of PMUs in a power system is limited, the traditional supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system cannot…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-07-12 Jian Du , Shaodan Ma , Yik-Chung Wu , H. Vincent Poor

This paper intends to apply the Hidden Markov Model into stock market and and make predictions. Moreover, four different methods of improvement, which are GMM-HMM, XGB-HMM, GMM-HMM+LSTM and XGB-HMM+LSTM, will be discussed later with the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-04-21 Mingwen Liu , Junbang Huo , Yulin Wu , Jinge Wu

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

Hidden Markov Models (HMM) have been used for several years in many time series analysis or pattern recognitions tasks. HMM are often trained by means of the Baum-Welch algorithm which can be seen as a special variant of an expectation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-30 Christian Gruhl , Bernhard Sick

Weakly supervised named entity recognition methods train label models to aggregate the token annotations of multiple noisy labeling functions (LFs) without seeing any manually annotated labels. To work well, the label model needs to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Yinghao Li , Le Song , Chao Zhang

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is often regarded as the dynamical model of choice in many fields and applications. It is also at the heart of most state-of-the-art speech recognition systems since the 70's. However, from Gaussian mixture models…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-07-04 Sébastien Gagnon , Jean Rouat

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distributions of the observations depend on unobserved serially correlated states. The state-dependent distributions in HMMs are usually taken from some class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Alexander Sohn , Stacy DeRuiter

Bond rating Transition Probability Matrices (TPMs) are built over a one-year time-frame and for many practical purposes, like the assessment of risk in portfolios or the computation of banking Capital Requirements (e.g. the new IFRS 9…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-10-17 Greig Smith , Goncalo dos Reis
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