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The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

Recent research on temporal networks has highlighted the limitations of a static network perspective for our understanding of complex systems with dynamic topologies. In particular, recent works have shown that i) the specific order in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-11-20 Ingo Scholtes , Nicolas Wider , Antonios Garas

Uncovering causal relationships in data is a major objective of data analytics. Causal relationships are normally discovered with designed experiments, e.g. randomised controlled trials, which, however are expensive or infeasible to be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-01 Jiuyong Li , Saisai Ma , Thuc Duy Le , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu

In a temporal network causal paths are characterized by the fact that links from a source to a target must respect the chronological order. In this article we study the causal paths structure in temporal networks of human face to face…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Agostino Funel

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

Time-series causal discovery (TSCD) is a fundamental problem of machine learning. However, existing synthetic datasets cannot properly evaluate or predict the algorithms' performance on real data. This study introduces the CausalTime…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Yuxiao Cheng , Ziqian Wang , Tingxiong Xiao , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

In an intelligent transportation system, the effects and relations of traffic flow at different points in a network are valuable features which can be exploited for control system design and traffic forecasting. In this paper, we define the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-24 Sina Molavipour , Germán Bassi , Mladen Čičić , Mikael Skoglund , Karl Henrik Johansson

We propose a constraint-based algorithm, which automatically determines causal relevance thresholds, to infer causal networks from data. We call these topological thresholds. We present two methods for determining the threshold: the first…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-24 Filipe Barroso , Diogo Gomes , Gareth J. Baxter

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

Identifying causal relationships from observational time series data is a key problem in disciplines such as climate science or neuroscience, where experiments are often not possible. Data-driven causal inference is challenging since…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-03 Jakob Runge , Peer Nowack , Marlene Kretschmer , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic

Causal discovery is a crucial initial step in establishing causality from empirical data and background knowledge. Numerous algorithms have been developed for this purpose. Among them, the score-matching method has demonstrated superior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Hao Chen , Kai Yi

Estimating total treatment effects in the presence of network interference typically requires knowledge of the underlying interaction structure. However, in many practical settings, network data is either unavailable, incomplete, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Albert Tan , Sadegh Shirani , James Nordlund , Mohsen Bayati

Network visualisation techniques are important tools for the exploratory analysis of complex systems. While these methods are regularly applied to visualise data on complex networks, we increasingly have access to time series data that can…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Vincenzo Perri , Ingo Scholtes

In this paper, we analyze the applicability of the Causal Identification algorithm to causal time series graphs with latent confounders. Since these graphs extend over infinitely many time steps, deciding whether causal effects across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-30 Erik Jahn , Karthik Karnik , Leonard J. Schulman

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

Causality defines the relationship between cause and effect. In multivariate time series field, this notion allows to characterize the links between several time series considering temporal lags. These phenomena are particularly important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Antonin Arsac , Aurore Lomet , Jean-Philippe Poli

Consider an asynchronous system consisting of processes that communicate via message-passing. The processes communicate over a potentially {\em incomplete} communication network consisting of reliable bidirectional communication channels.…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Nitin H. Vaidya , Sandeep S. Kulkarni

Complex networked systems can be modeled and represented as graphs, with nodes representing the agents and the links describing the dynamic coupling between them. The fundamental objective of network identification for dynamic systems is to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-09 Venkat Ram Subramanian , Andrew Lamperski , Murti V. Salapaka

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Healthcare artificial intelligence systems often degrade in performance when deployed across institutions, with documented performance drops and perpetuation of discriminatory patterns embedded in data. This brittleness comes, in part, from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Munib Mesinovic , Max Buhlan , Tingting Zhu
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