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This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Identifying causal relations among multi-variate time series is one of the most important elements towards understanding the complex mechanisms underlying the dynamic system. It provides critical tools for forecasting, simulations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Yang Sun , Yifan Xie

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

The identification and counting of small graph patterns, called network motifs, is a fundamental primitive in the analysis of networks, with application in various domains, from social networks to neuroscience. Several techniques have been…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-01-19 Ilie Sarpe , Fabio Vandin

Causal networks are useful in a wide variety of applications, from medical diagnosis to root-cause analysis in manufacturing. In practice, however, causal networks are often incomplete with missing causal relations. This paper presents a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Utkarshani Jaimini , Cory Henson , Amit P. Sheth

Time-stamped data are increasingly available for many social, economic, and information systems that can be represented as networks growing with time. The World Wide Web, social contact networks, and citation networks of scientific papers…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-10-01 Matus Medo , An Zeng , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Manuel S. Mariani

We introduce a framework for the modeling of sequential data capturing pathways of varying lengths observed in a network. Such data are important, e.g., when studying click streams in information networks, travel patterns in transportation…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-11-20 Ingo Scholtes

Inference of causality is central in nonlinear time series analysis and science in general. A popular approach to infer causality between two processes is to measure the information flow between them in terms of transfer entropy. Using…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-04-16 Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt

We present a method aimed to compute the communicability (broadcast and receive) of nodes through causal paths in temporal networks. The method considers all possible combinations of chronologically ordered products of adjacency matrices of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-02-07 Agostino Funel

The current method for predicting causal links in knowledge graphs uses weighted causal relations. For a given link between cause-effect entities, the presence of a confounder affects the causal link prediction, which can lead to spurious…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Utkarshani Jaimini , Cory Henson , Amit Sheth

This paper investigates causal influences between agents linked by a social graph and interacting over time. In particular, the work examines the dynamics of social learning models and distributed decision-making protocols, and derives…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

Causal discovery outputs a causal structure, represented by a graph, from observed data. For time series data, there is a variety of methods, however, it is difficult to evaluate these on real data as realistic use cases very rarely come…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Søren Wengel Mogensen , Karin Rathsman , Per Nilsson

In order to improve the resilience of computer infrastructure against cyber attacks and finding ways to mitigate their impact we need to understand their structure and dynamics. Here we propose a novel network-based influence spreading…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Vesa Kuikka , Lauri Pykälä , Tuomas Takko , Kimmo Kaski

The aim in many sciences is to understand the mechanisms that underlie the observed distribution of variables, starting from a set of initial hypotheses. Causal discovery allows us to infer mechanisms as sets of cause and effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Ashka Shah , Adela DePavia , Nathaniel Hudson , Ian Foster , Rick Stevens

Can the direction of time and the causal structure of space-time be inferred from operational principles? Causal models and tensor networks offer complementary perspectives: the former encodes cause-effect relations via directed graphs,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-16 Carla Ferradini , Giulia Mazzola , V. Vilasini

Causal discovery broadens the inference possibilities, as correlation does not inform about the relationship direction. The common approaches were proposed for cases in which prior knowledge is desired, when the impact of a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-18 Marcel Młyńczak

We consider the incorporation of causal knowledge about the presence or absence of (possibly indirect) causal relations into a causal model. Such causal relations correspond to directed paths in a causal model. This type of knowledge…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Traffic forecasting is an important application of spatiotemporal series prediction. Among different methods, graph neural networks have achieved so far the most promising results, learning relations between graph nodes then becomes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Ting Gao , Rodrigo Kappes Marques , Lei Yu