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The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

We investigate front propagation in systems with diffusive and sub-diffusive behavior. The scaling behavior of moments of the diffusive problem, both in the standard and in the anomalous cases, is not enough to determine the features of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-09-06 Maurizio Serva , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

Identifying the generating mechanism of a network is challenging as, more often than not, only snapshots are available, but not the full evolution. One candidate for the generating mechanism is preferential attachment which, in its simplest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Thomas Boughen , Clement Lee , Vianey Palacios Ramirez

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-11 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We introduce a new family of multivariate distributions by taking the component-wise Tukey-h transformation of a random vector following a skew-normal distribution. The proposed distribution is named the skew-normal-Tukey-h distribution and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-19 Sagnik Mondal , Marc G. Genton

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

We address the problem of estimating the Weibull tail-coefficient which is the regular variation exponent of the inverse failure rate function. We propose a family of estimators of this coefficient and an associate extreme quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

We apply the Weibull distribution -- a two-parameter family from extreme-value theory -- as a diagnostic framework for element-wise weight magnitude distributions in transformers. At initialization, i.i.d. Gaussian weights give |w| ~…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Tiexin Ding

An important question in health services research is the estimation of the proportion of medical expenditures that exceed a given threshold. Typically, medical expenditures present highly skewed, heavy tailed distributions, for which (a)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-07-30 Sergio Venturini , Francesca Dominici , Giovanni Parmigiani

The proposed paper discusses the problem of discrimination between close hypotheses about distributions belonging to the Gumbel maximum domain of attraction. The distinctive feature of the proposed work is using only k higher order…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-29 Igor Rodionov

We introduce in this paper a new generalization of the flexible Weibull distribution with four parameters. This model based on the Beta generalized (BG) distribution, Eugene et al. \cite{Eugeneetal2002}, they first using the BG distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-20 Beih S. El-Desouky , Abdelfattah Mustafa , Shamsan AL-Garash

Stable distributions are of fundamental importance in probability theory, yet their absolute continuity makes them unsuitable for modeling count data. A discrete analog of strict stability has been previously proposed by replacing scaling…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-09 F. William Townes

We consider heavy-tailed distributions and compare the well-known estimators of the tail index, based on extreme value theory with a comparatively recent estimator based on a different idea.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Vygantas Paulauskas , Marijus Vaičiulis

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

The Weibull distribution is one of the most used tools in reliability analysis. In this paper, assuming a Bayesian approach, we propose necessary and sufficient conditions to verify when improper priors lead to proper posteriors for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Eduardo Ramos , Pedro L. Ramos

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-09 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow , Anton Tarasenko

We discuss the possibilities and limitations of estimating the mean of a real-valued random variable from independent and identically distributed observations from a non-asymptotic point of view. In particular, we define estimators with a…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-22 Luc Devroye , Matthieu Lerasle , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira