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Many applications of classification methods not only require high accuracy but also reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty. However, while many current classification frameworks, in particular deep neural networks, achieve high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-28 Jonathan Wenger , Hedvig Kjellström , Rudolph Triebel

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Bayesian optimization is popular for optimizing time-consuming black-box objectives. Nonetheless, for hyperparameter tuning in deep neural networks, the time required to evaluate the validation error for even a few hyperparameter settings…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-13 Jian Wu , Saul Toscano-Palmerin , Peter I. Frazier , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Two of the most significant challenges in uncertainty quantification pertain to the high computational cost for simulating complex physical models and the high dimension of the random inputs. In applications of practical interest, both of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-09-02 Jonas Nitzler , Jonas Biehler , Niklas Fehn , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Wolfgang A. Wall

We present a novel probabilistic approach for generating multi-fidelity data while accounting for errors inherent in both low- and high-fidelity data. In this approach a graph Laplacian constructed from the low-fidelity data is used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Orazio Pinti , Jeremy M. Budd , Franca Hoffmann , Assad A. Oberai

Computational models of atrial fibrillation have successfully been used to predict optimal ablation sites. A critical step to assess the effect of an ablation pattern is to pace the model from different, potentially random, locations to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-17 Lia Gander , Simone Pezzuto , Ali Gharaviri , Rolf Krause , Paris Perdikaris , Francisco Sahli Costabal

It is a common practice in the machine learning community to assume that the observed data are noise-free in the input attributes. Nevertheless, scenarios with input noise are common in real problems, as measurements are never perfectly…

Model selection in Gaussian processes scales prohibitively with the size of the training dataset, both in time and memory. While many approximations exist, all incur inevitable approximation error. Recent work accounts for this error in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Jonathan Wenger , Kaiwen Wu , Philipp Hennig , Jacob R. Gardner , Geoff Pleiss , John P. Cunningham

Despite the increased computational resources, the simulation-based design optimization (SBDO) procedure can be very expensive from a computational viewpoint, especially if high-fidelity solvers are required. Multi-fidelity metamodels have…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-30 Simone Ficini , Umberto Iemma , Riccardo Pellegrini , Andrea Serani , Matteo Diez

Multi-fidelity optimization employs surrogate models that integrate information from varying levels of fidelity to guide efficient exploration of complex design spaces while minimizing the reliance on (expensive) high-fidelity objective…

We propose a new class of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that can be trained using noisy data of variable fidelity, and we apply them to learn function approximations as well as to solve inverse problems based on partial differential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Xuhui Meng , Hessam Babaee , George Em Karniadakis

Mathematical models of biological systems are beginning to be used for safety-critical applications, where large numbers of repeated model evaluations are required to perform uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. Most of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Sanmitra Ghosh , David J. Gavaghan , Gary R. Mirams

Factorization machines (FMs) are a powerful tool for regression and classification in the context of sparse observations, that has been successfully applied to collaborative filtering, especially when side information over users or items is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Jill-Jênn Vie , Tomas Rigaux , Hisashi Kashima

Practitioners building classifiers often start with a smaller pilot dataset and plan to grow to larger data in the near future. Such projects need a toolkit for extrapolating how much classifier accuracy may improve from a 2x, 10x, or 50x…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Ethan Harvey , Wansu Chen , David M. Kent , Michael C. Hughes

Gaussian processes (GPs) are generally regarded as the gold standard surrogate model for emulating computationally expensive computer-based simulators. However, the problem of training GPs as accurately as possible with a minimum number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

Aircraft design relies heavily on solving challenging and computationally expensive Multidisciplinary Design Optimization problems. In this context, there has been growing interest in multi-fidelity models for Bayesian optimization to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-01 Oihan Cordelier , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli , Eric Laurendeau

High-dimensional Bayesian inverse analysis (dim >> 100) is mostly unfeasible for computationally demanding, nonlinear physics-based high-fidelity (HF) models. Usually, the use of more efficient gradient-based inference schemes is impeded if…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Jonas Nitzler , Bugrahan Z. Temür , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Wolfgang A. Wall

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

This paper develops a multifidelity method that enables estimation of failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate models via information fusion and importance sampling. The presented general fusion method combines multiple probability…

In statistical modeling with Gaussian Process regression, it has been shown that combining (few) high-fidelity data with (many) low-fidelity data can enhance prediction accuracy, compared to prediction based on the few high-fidelity data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Seungjoon Lee , Felix Dietrich , George E. Karniadakis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis