中文
相关论文

相关论文: Schwartz type model selection for ergodic stochast…

200 篇论文

We establish a new version of the stochastic Strichartz estimate for the stochastic convolution driven by jump noise which we apply to the stochastic nonlinear Schr\"{o}dinger equation with nonlinear multiplicative jump noise in the Marcus…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-20 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Wei Liu , Jiahui Zhu

In this paper, we consider stochastic versions of three classical growth models given by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Indeed we use stochastic versions of Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic differential equations as models.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-22 F. Baltazar-Larios , F. J. Delgado-Vences , A. Ornelas Vargas

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

We study the dynamics of a continuous-time model of the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) for the least-square problem. Indeed, pursuing the work of Li et al. (2019), we analyze Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) that model SGD either…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Adrien Schertzer , Loucas Pillaud-Vivien

We develop a novel method for carrying out model selection for Bayesian autoencoders (BAEs) by means of prior hyper-parameter optimization. Inspired by the common practice of type-II maximum likelihood optimization and its equivalence to…

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

The problem of model selection in the context of a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has not been touched upon in the literature. Indeed, properties of Bayes factors have not been studied even in single SDE based model…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-18 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We consider the control of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) via deterministic controls. In the case of multiplicative noise, existence of optimal controls and necessary conditions for optimality are derived. In…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-28 Wilhelm Stannat , Lukas Wessels

There is a history of simple forecast error growth models designed to capture the key properties of error growth in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. We propose here such a scalar model that relies on the previous ones…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-02 Eviatar Bach , Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

In deep latent Gaussian models, the latent variable is generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain, where at each time step we pass the current state through a parametric nonlinear map, such as a feedforward neural net, and add a small…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-29 Belinda Tzen , Maxim Raginsky

We propose a novel problem formulation of continuous-time information propagation on heterogenous networks based on jump stochastic differential equations (SDE). The structure of the network and activation rates between nodes are naturally…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-10-26 Yaohua Zang , Gang Bao , Xiaojing Ye , Hongyuan Zha , Haomin Zhou

We introduce stochastic normalizing flows, an extension of continuous normalizing flows for maximum likelihood estimation and variational inference (VI) using stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Using the theory of rough paths, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-27 Liam Hodgkinson , Chris van der Heide , Fred Roosta , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider the problem of obtaining effective representations for the solutions of linear, vector-valued stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by non-Gaussian pure-jump L\'evy processes, and we show how such representations lead…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-09 Marcos Tapia Costa , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

We consider the problem of selecting deterministic or stochastic models for a biological, ecological, or environmental dynamical process. In most cases, one prefers either deterministic or stochastic models as candidate models based on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-10-26 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

The regularity and characterization of solutions to degenerate, quasilinear SPDE is studied. Our results are two-fold: First, we prove regularity results for solutions to certain degenerate, quasilinear SPDE driven by Lipschitz continuous…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-23 Benjamin Gess , Michael Röckner

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the notion of mild solution of an SPDE, we introduce a novel neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Andris Gerasimovics