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The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that fast and accurate analysis of continually collected infectious disease surveillance data is crucial for situational awareness and policy making. Coalescent-based phylodynamic analysis can use genetic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-29 Catalina M. Medina , Julia A. Palacios , Volodymyr M. Minin

Exposure assessment is fundamental to air pollution cohort studies. The objective is to predict air pollution exposures for study subjects at locations without data in order to optimize our ability to learn about health effects of air…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Si Cheng , Magali N. Blanco , Lianne Sheppard , Ali Shojaie , Adam Szpiro

Variations in individuals' perceptions of vaccination and decision-making processes can give rise to poor vaccination coverage. The future vaccination promotion programs will benefit from understanding this heterogeneity amongst groups…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-11-05 Azadeh Aghaeeyan , Mark A. Lewis , Pouria Ramazi

Missing exposure information is a very common feature of many observational studies. Here we study identifiability and efficient estimation of causal effects on vector outcomes, in such cases where treatment is unconfounded but partially…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-04 Edward H. Kennedy

In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

The efficacy of an intervention can be assessed by randomizing patients to different diagnostic tests instead of directly to an intervention and control. This principle is applied by allocating individuals to intervention if the test result…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Huw Llewelyn

Feature attribution XAI algorithms enable their users to gain insight into the underlying patterns of large datasets through their feature importance calculation. Existing feature attribution algorithms treat all features in a dataset…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-03-25 Veera Raghava Reddy Kovvuri , Siyuan Liu , Monika Seisenberger , Berndt Müller , Xiuyi Fan

The development of targeted therapies, which benefit only a subgroup of patients treated for a given type of cancer, has been extremely attractive to many investigators. Adaptive seamless phase II/III designs in oncology clinical trials…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-08 Ryuji Uozumi , Chikuma Hamada

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

Estimating long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational and short-term experimental data is a crucial but challenging problem in many real-world scenarios. In existing methods, several ideal assumptions, e.g. latent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Zijian Li , Peng Zhen , Jiecheng Guo

The membership inference problem for publicly released statistics from a private dataset is well-studied. When developing and formally analyzing attack strategies, however, the focus has been on attacks that model the population using only…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Lisa Oakley , Sam Stites , Cameron Moy , Steven Holtzen , Alina Oprea , Marco Gaboardi

Time-to-event analysis often relies on prior parametric assumptions, or, if a non-parametric approach is chosen, Cox's model. This is inherently tied to the assumption of proportional hazards, with the analysis potentially invalidated if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-15 Lucia Ameis , Oliver Kuß , Annika Hoyer , Kathrin Möllenhoff

In biomedical studies it is of substantial interest to develop risk prediction scores using high-dimensional data such as gene expression data for clinical endpoints that are subject to censoring. In the presence of well-established…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-11-24 Qi Long , Matthias Chung , Carlos S. Moreno , Brent A. Johnson

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Survival analysis provides a well-established framework for modeling time-to-event data, with hazard and survival functions formally defined as population-level quantities. In applied work, however, these quantities are often interpreted as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Xijia Liu

Immune events such as infection, vaccination, and a combination of the two result in distinct time-dependent antibody responses in affected individuals. These responses and event prevalences combine non-trivially to govern antibody levels…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-16 Prajakta Bedekar , Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley

Estimating the causal effect of a time-varying public health intervention on the course of an infectious disease epidemic is an important methodological challenge. During the COVID-19 pandemic, researchers attempted to estimate the effects…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-20 Yichi Zhang , Forrest W. Crawford

The assumption that no subject's exposure affects another subject's outcome, known as the no-interference assumption, has long held a foundational position in the study of causal inference. However, this assumption may be violated in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Caleb H. Miles , Maya Petersen , Mark J. van der Laan

In observational studies, the observed association between an exposure and outcome of interest may be distorted by unobserved confounding. Causal sensitivity analysis can be used to assess the robustness of observed associations to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Rui Hu , Ted Westling

We adapt the article of Forien, Pang, Pardoux and Zotsa: Arxiv preprint Arxiv2210.04667(2022), on epidemic models with varying infectivity and waning immunity, to incorporate the memory of the last infection. To this end, we introduce a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-02 Hélène Guérin , Arsene Brice Zotsa-Ngoufack