相关论文: BCMA-ES II: revisiting Bayesian CMA-ES

Instrumental variables are a popular tool to infer causal effects under unobserved confounding, but choosing suitable instruments is challenging in practice. We propose gIVBMA, a Bayesian model averaging procedure that addresses this…

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Bias - variance decomposition of the expected error defined for regression and classification problems is an important tool to study and compare different algorithms, to find the best areas for their application. Here the decomposition is…

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

Gaussian graphical models are a popular tool to learn the dependence structure in the form of a graph among variables of interest. Bayesian methods have gained in popularity in the last two decades due to their ability to simultaneously…

We present a systematic study of Riesz measures and their natural exponential families of Wishart laws on a homogeneous cone. We compute explicitly the inverse of the mean map and the variance function of a Wishart exponential family.

The normal-inverse-Wishart (NIW) distribution is commonly used as a prior distribution for the mean and covariance parameters of a multivariate normal distribution. The family of NIW distributions is also a minimal exponential family. In…

We investigate predictive densities for multivariate normal models with unknown mean vectors and known covariance matrices. Bayesian predictive densities based on shrinkage priors often have complex representations, although they are…

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) has emerged as a powerful tool to detect negative health effects from exposure to complex multi-pollutant mixtures. However, its performance is degraded when data deviate from normality. In this…

Conventional inverse optimization inputs a solution and finds the parameters of an optimization model that render a given solution optimal. The literature mostly focuses on inferring the objective function in linear problems when accepted…

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the…

For the extended skew-normal distribution, which represents an extension of the normal (or Gaussian) distribution, we focus on the properties of the log-likelihood function and derived quantities in the the bivariate case. Specifically, we…

Objective Bayesian inference procedures are derived for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model generalized to elliptically contoured distributions. The posterior for the overall mean vector and the between-study covariance…

We compared Bayes factors to normalized maximum likelihood for the simple case of selecting between an order-constrained versus a full binomial model. This comparison revealed two qualitative differences in testing order constraints…

In multivariate statistics, estimating the covariance matrix is essential for understanding the interdependence among variables. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of covariates increases with the sample size, it is well known…

Current efforts to correctly categorize natural events from suspected explosion sources with data that is collected by ground- or space-based sensors presents historical challenges that remain unaddressed by the Event Categorization Matrix…

We introduce a novel procedure for obtaining cross-validated predictive estimates for Bayesian hierarchical regression models (BHRMs). Bayesian hierarchical models are popular for their ability to model complex dependence structures and…

Maximum likelihood estimation is a popular method in statistical inference. As a way of assessing the accuracy of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), the calculation of the covariance matrix of the MLE is of great interest in practice.…

This paper argues that the half-Cauchy distribution should replace the inverse-Gamma distribution as a default prior for a top-level scale parameter in Bayesian hierarchical models, at least for cases where a proper prior is necessary. Our…