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We survey the properties of the log-correlated Gaussian field (LGF), which is a centered Gaussian random distribution (generalized function) $h$ on $\mathbb R^d$, defined up to a global additive constant. Its law is determined by the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-22 Bertrand Duplantier , Rémi Rhodes , Scott Sheffield , Vincent Vargas

Paradoxically, while the assumptions of second-order stationarity and isotropy appear outdated in light of modern spatial data, they remain remarkably robust in practice, as nonstationary methods often provide marginal improvements in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Federico Blasi , Reinhard Furrer

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are effective for modeling event occurrences over time, but they struggle with sparse and uncertain events in federated systems, where privacy is a major concern. To address this, we propose \textit{FedPP}, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Hui Chen , Xuhui Fan , Hengyu Liu , Yaqiong Li , Zhilin Zhao , Feng Zhou , Christopher John Quinn , Longbing Cao

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Gaussian processes are a flexible Bayesian nonparametric modelling approach that has been widely applied but poses computational challenges. To address the poor scaling of exact inference methods, approximation methods based on sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-01 Rui Meng , Herbert Lee , Soper Braden , Priyadip Ray

This paper considers maximum likelihood inference for a functional marked point process - the stochastic growth-interaction process - which is an extension of the spatio-temporal growth-interaction process to the stochastic mark setting. As…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-09 Ottmar Cronie

In a global numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling framework we study the implementation of Gaussian uncertainty of individual particles into the assimilation step of a localized adaptive particle filter (LAPF). We obtain a local…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-16 Anne Rojahn , Nora Schenk , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Roland Potthast

Multitask Gaussian process (MTGP) is powerful for joint learning of multiple tasks with complicated correlation patterns. However, due to the assembling of additive independent latent functions, all current MTGPs including the salient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Kai Chen , Twan van Laarhoven , Elena Marchiori , Feng Yin , Shuguang Cui

Bayesian Cox semiparametric regression is an important problem in many clinical settings. Bayesian procedures provide finite-sample inference and naturally incorporate prior information if MCMC algorithms and posteriors are well behaved.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Benny Ren , Jeffrey Morris , Ian Barnett

State-space models provide an important body of techniques for analyzing time-series, but their use requires estimating unobserved states. The optimal estimate of the state is its conditional expectation given the observation histories, and…

We propose a nested Gaussian process (nGP) as a locally adaptive prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. Specified through a set of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), the nGP imposes a Gaussian process prior for the function's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-24 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

We begin with isotropic Gaussian random fields, and show how the Bochner-Godement theorem gives a natural way to describe their covariance structure. We continue with a study of Mat\'ern processes on Euclidean space, spheres, manifolds and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-24 N. H. Bingham , Tasmin L. Symons

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in non-parametric Bayesian modeling, and play an important role in various statistical and machine learning applications. In a variety tasks of uncertainty quantification, generating random sample…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-08-02 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

Transformed Gaussian Processes (TGPs) are stochastic processes specified by transforming samples from the joint distribution from a prior process (typically a GP) using an invertible transformation; increasing the flexibility of the base…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Francisco Javier Sáez-Maldonado , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski