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相关论文: Short-term Load Forecasting at Different Aggregati…

200 篇论文

Load forecasting is an integral part of power system operations and planning. Due to the increasing penetration of rooftop PV, electric vehicles and demand response applications, forecasting the load of individual and a small group of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-06-19 Ling Zhang , Baosen Zhang

The expansion of residential demand response programs and increased deployment of controllable loads will require accurate appliance-level load modeling and forecasting. This paper proposes a conditional hidden semi-Markov model to describe…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-10 Yuting Ji , Elizabeth Buechler , Ram Rajagopal

The transition to Electric Vehicles (EV) in place of traditional internal combustion engines is increasing societal demand for electricity. The ability to integrate the additional demand from EV charging into forecasting electricity demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Raiden Skala , Mohamed Ahmed T. A. Elgalhud , Katarina Grolinger , Syed Mir

Time-series forecasting in real-world applications such as finance and energy often faces challenges due to limited training data and complex, noisy temporal dynamics. Existing deep forecasting models typically supervise predictions using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Jiacheng You , Jingcheng Yang , Yuhang Xie , Zhongxuan Wu , Xiucheng Li , Feng Li , Pengjie Wang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng , Xinyang Chen

A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

Electricity demand forecasting is a well established research field. Usually this task is performed considering historical loads, weather forecasts, calendar information and known major events. Recently attention has been given on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-14 Yun Bai , Simon Camal , Andrea Michiorri

Electricity load forecasting is crucial for the power systems' planning and maintenance. However, its un-stationary and non-linear characteristics impose significant difficulties in anticipating future demand. This paper proposes a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Ruobin Gao , Liang Du , P. N. Suganthan , Qin Zhou , Kum Fai Yuen

Real-time monitoring of power consumption in cities and micro-grids through the Internet of Things (IoT) can help forecast future demand and optimize grid operations. But moving all consumer-level usage data to the cloud for predictions and…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-09-04 Roopkatha Banerjee , Sampath Koti , Gyanendra Singh , Anirban Chakraborty , Gurunath Gurrala , Bhushan Jagyasi , Yogesh Simmhan

The precise forecasting of electricity demand also referred to as load forecasting, is essential for both planning and managing a power system. It is crucial for many tasks, including choosing which power units to commit to, making plans…

Traditionally power distribution networks are either not observable or only partially observable. This complicates development and implementation of new smart grid technologies, such as those related to demand response, outage detection and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-03-02 Deepjyoti Deka , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

This paper proposes a new objective function and quantile regression (QR) algorithm for load forecasting (LF). In LF, the positive forecasting errors often have different economic impact from the negative forecasting errors. Considering…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-21 Hossein Sangrody , Ning Zhou

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

This paper presents issues regarding short term electric load forecasting using feedforward and Elman recurrent neural networks. The study cases were developed using measured data representing electrical energy consume from Banat area.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Cristian Vasar , Iosif Szeidert , Ioan Filip , Gabriela Prostean

This paper presents a framework for processing EV charging load data in order to forecast future load predictions using a Recurrent Neural Network, specifically an LSTM. The framework processes a large set of raw data from multiple…

Implementing state estimation in low and medium voltage power distribution is still challenging given the scale of many networks and the reliance of traditional methods on a large number of measurements. This paper proposes a method to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Roel Dobbe , Werner van Westering , Stephan Liu , Daniel Arnold , Duncan Callaway , Claire Tomlin

Load points are one of the most vital parts of power systems. Due to the new load forms and programs introduced in the demand side, the load-serving entities (LSEs) no longer deal with lump loads, but rather with more dynamic, rational and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-13 Ahmed S. Alahmed , Muhammed M. Almuhaini

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

While LLMs have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series forecasting, their practical deployment remains constrained by excessive computational demands and memory footprints. Existing LLM-based approaches typically suffer from three…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Haoran Fan , Bin Li , Yixuan Weng , Shoujun Zhou

We consider the problem of short- and medium-term electricity load forecasting by using past loads and daily weather forecast information. Conventionally, many researchers have directly applied regression analysis. However, interpreting the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Kei Hirose