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We present a new additive method, nicknamed sage for Simplified Additive Gaussian processes Emulator, to emulate climate model Perturbed Parameter Ensembles (PPEs). It estimates the value of a climate model output as the sum of additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Qingyuan Yang , Gregory S Elsaesser , Marcus Van Lier-Walqui , Trude Eidhammer

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong

We use approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) combined with an "improved" Markov chain Monte Carlo (IMCMC) method to estimate posterior distributions of model parameters in subgrid-scale (SGS) closures for large eddy simulations (LES) of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-05-29 Olga A. Doronina , Colin A. Z. Towery , Peter E. Hamlington

Partial differential equations (PDEs) with inputs that depend on infinitely many parameters pose serious theoretical and computational challenges. Sophisticated numerical algorithms that automatically determine which parameters need to be…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-18 Adam J. Crowder , Catherine E. Powell , Alex Bespalov

Simulating water from first principles remains a significant computational challenge due to the slow dynamics of the underlying system. Although machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLPs) can accelerate these simulations, they often fail…

化学物理 · 物理学 2026-01-30 Tobias Hilpert , Georg Kresse

In this paper, we propose a new end-to-end methodology to optimize the energy performance and the comfort, air quality and hygiene of large buildings. A metamodel based on a Transformer network is introduced and trained using a dataset…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-23 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff , Marius Preda , Gilles Nozière

To reduce the experimental validation workload for chemical researchers and accelerate the design and optimization of high-energy-density lithium metal batteries, we aim to leverage models to automatically predict Coulombic Efficiency (CE)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Xinhe Li , Zhuoying Feng , Yezeng Chen , Weichen Dai , Zixu He , Yi Zhou , Shuhong Jiao

Numerical simulations of high energy-density experiments require equation of state (EOS) models that relate a material's thermodynamic state variables -- specifically pressure, volume/density, energy, and temperature. EOS models are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-02-26 Himanshu Sharma , Jim A. Gaffney , Dimitrios Tsapetis , Michael D. Shields

Interest in an electronic health record-based computational model that can accurately predict a patient's risk of sepsis at a given point in time has grown rapidly in the last several years. Like other EHR vendors, the Epic Systems…

Scientists conduct large-scale simulations to compute derived quantities-of-interest (QoI) from primary data. Often, QoI are linked to specific features, regions, or time intervals, such that data can be adaptively reduced without…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-03 Xiao Li , Qian Gong , Jaemoon Lee , Scott Klasky , Anand Rangarajan , Sanjay Ranka

Many data-science problems can be formulated as an inverse problem, where the parameters are estimated by minimizing a proper loss function. When complicated black-box models are involved, derivative-free optimization tools are often…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-10-19 Neil K. Chada , Xin T. Tong

We present a strategy combining machine learning and first-principles calculations to achieve highly accurate nuclear quadrupolar coupling constant predictions. Our approach employs two distinct machine-learning frameworks: a…

The accuracy and precision of high-energy spallation models are key issues for the design and development of new applications and experiments. We present a method to estimate model parameters and associated uncertainties by leveraging the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2024-06-28 Jason Hirtz , Jean-Christophe David , Joseph Cugnon , Ingo Leya , José Luís Rodríguez-Sánchez , Georg Schnabel

This work introduces a comprehensive approach to assess the sensitivity of model outputs to changes in parameter values, constrained by the combination of prior beliefs and data. This novel approach identifies stiff parameter combinations…

This paper addresses the challenging task of guide wire navigation in cardiovascular interventions, focusing on the parameter estimation of a guide wire system using Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) with a subsampling technique. The EKI uses…

This work investigates Bayesian stepwise estimation (Se) for measuring the two parameters of a unitary qubit rotation. While asymptotic analysis predicts a precision advantage for SE over joint estimation (JE) in regimes where the quantum…

Reliably predicting nuclear properties across the entire chart of isotopes is important for applications ranging from nuclear astrophysics to superheavy science to nuclear technology. To this day, however, all the theoretical models that…

核理论 · 物理学 2025-10-29 Aman Sharma , Nicolas Schunck , Kyle Wendt

The confinement of energetic particles (EPs) generated by fusion reactions and external heating methods is crucial for the performance of future fusion devices. However, EP transport can occur due to their interaction with electromagnetic…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-16 V. -A. Popa , Ph. Lauber , T. Hayward-Schneider , M. Schneider , O. Hoenen , S. Pinches

Geothermal field modeling is often associated with uncertainties related to the subsurface static properties and the dynamics of fluid flow and heat transfer. Uncertainty quantification using simulations is a useful tool to design optimum…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-12-13 Hussein Hoteit , Xupeng He , Bicheng Yan , Volker Vahrenkam