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Divide-and-conquer based methods for Bayesian inference provide a general approach for tractable posterior inference when the sample size is large. These methods divide the data into smaller subsets, sample from the posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Cheng Li , David B. Dunson

Variational inference is an approximation framework for Bayesian inference that seeks to improve quantified uncertainty in predictions by optimizing a simplified distribution over parameters to stand in for the full posterior. Capturing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Jed A. Duersch

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Stochastic differential equations have been an important tool in modeling complex financial relations, equipped with the possibility of being multidimensional to better oversee complexities inherent in finance. This multidimensionality,…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-22 Ahmet Umur Özsoy

Variable selection for structured covariates lying on an underlying known graph is a problem motivated by practical applications, and has been a topic of increasing interest. However, most of the existing methods may not be scalable to high…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-27 Changgee Chang , Suprateek Kundu , Qi Long

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

The main challenge in Bayesian models is to determine the posterior for the model parameters. Already, in models with only one or few parameters, the analytical posterior can only be determined in special settings. In Bayesian neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-02 Sefan Hörtling , Daniel Dold , Oliver Dürr , Beate Sick

In Bayesian inference, the posterior distributions are difficult to obtain analytically for complex models such as neural networks. Variational inference usually uses a parametric distribution for approximation, from which we can easily…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Futoshi Futami , Zhenghang Cui , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

We develop Riemannian Stein Variational Gradient Descent (RSVGD), a Bayesian inference method that generalizes Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) to Riemann manifold. The benefits are two-folds: (i) for inference tasks in Euclidean…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-01 Chang Liu , Jun Zhu

A central challenge in Bayesian inference is efficiently approximating posterior distributions. Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) is a popular variational inference method which transports a set of particles to approximate a target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Moritz Melcher , Simon Weissmann , Ashia C. Wilson , Jakob Zech

In an era where big and high-dimensional data is readily available, data scientists are inevitably faced with the challenge of reducing this data for expensive downstream computation or analysis. To this end, we present here a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-05 Simon Mak , V. Roshan Joseph

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular scalable alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian inference. We study a mean-field spike and slab VB approximation of widely used Bayesian model selection priors in sparse high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-07 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo , Gabriel Clara

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) is a particle-based inference algorithm that leverages gradient information for efficient approximate inference. In this work, we enhance SVGD by leveraging preconditioning matrices, such as the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-06 Dilin Wang , Ziyang Tang , Chandrajit Bajaj , Qiang Liu

Despite the popularism of Bayesian neural networks in recent years, its use is somewhat limited in complex and big data situations due to the computational cost associated with full posterior evaluations. Variational Bayes (VB) provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis