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This paper aims to provide practitioners of causal mediation analysis with a better understanding of estimation options. We take as inputs two familiar strategies (weighting and model-based prediction) and a simple way of combining them…

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-bymeasure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-02-26 Joseph Y. Halpern , Samantha Leung

The covariate shift is a challenging problem in supervised learning that results from the discrepancy between the training and test distributions. An effective approach which recently drew a considerable attention in the research community…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-11-27 Yun-Qian Miao , Ahmed K. Farahat , Mohamed S. Kamel

Chance imbalance in baseline characteristics is common in randomized clinical trials. Regression adjustment such as the analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) is often used to account for imbalance and increase precision of the treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Rui Wang , Fan Li

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

We develop a method for estimating well-conditioned and sparse covariance and inverse covariance matrices from a sample of vectors drawn from a sub-gaussian distribution in high dimensional setting. The proposed estimators are obtained by…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-21 Ashwini Maurya

The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed. Several known existing methods are typically not applicable in the heavy-tailed framework. To…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-23 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-19 Yihan Bao , Lauren Bell , Elizabeth Williamson , Claire Garnett , Tianchen Qian

We investigate a weighted Multilevel Richardson-Romberg extrapolation for the ergodic approximation of invariant distributions of diffusions adapted from the one introduced in~[Lemaire-Pag\`es, 2013] for regular Monte Carlo simulation. In a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-05 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

The growing availability of observational databases like electronic health records (EHR) provides unprecedented opportunities for secondary use of such data in biomedical research. However, these data can be error-prone and need to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Gustavo G. C. Amorim , Pamela A. Shaw , Ran Tao , Bryan E. Shepherd

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-by-measure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-04 Joseph Y. Halpern , Samantha Leung

How to deal with missing data in observational studies is a common concern for causal inference. When the covariates are missing at random (MAR), multiple approaches have been provided to help solve the issue. However, if the exposure is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-14 Yuliang Shi , Yeying Zhu , Joel A. Dubin

Causal decomposition analysis provides a way to identify mediators that contribute to health disparities between marginalized and non-marginalized groups. In particular, the degree to which a disparity would be reduced or remain after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-16 Soojin Park , Suyeon Kang , Chioun Lee

Assessing the fairness of a decision making system with respect to a protected class, such as gender or race, is challenging when class membership labels are unavailable. Probabilistic models for predicting the protected class based on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Jiahao Chen , Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Geoffry Svacha , Madeleine Udell

We develop estimators that improve precision of heterogeneous treatment effect estimates that allow borrowing information from observational studies when the available covariates in each data source do not perfectly match. Standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Samhita Pal , Jared D. Huling , Amir Asiaee

The propensity score is widely used for causal inference in observational studies, but common parametric estimators can produce biased and inefficient effect estimates when model assumptions are violated. Nonparametric approaches reduce…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-09 Maosen Peng , Yan Li , Chong Wu , Liang Li

We wish to estimate conditional density using Gaussian Mixture Regression model with logistic weights and means depending on the covariate. We aim at selecting the number of components of this model as well as the other parameters by a…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-10 Lucie Montuelle , Erwan Le Pennec , Serge Cohen

Information from various data sources is increasingly available nowadays. However, some of the data sources may produce biased estimation due to commonly encountered biased sampling, population heterogeneity, or model misspecification. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-07 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao

Machine learning models trained on real-world data may inadvertently make biased predictions that negatively impact marginalized communities. Reweighting, which assigns a weight to each data point used during model training, can mitigate…